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A global analysis challenged the notion that a rise in cancer is disproportionately affecting younger adults, finding instead that several cancer types previously seen rising in younger adults are also increasing in older adults.
More specifically, the analysis found that incidence rates for thyroid cancer, breast cancer, kidney cancer, endometrial cancer, and leukemia increased similarly in both younger and older adults in most countries over a 15-year period. Colorectal cancer (CRC) was the exception, where incidence rates increased in younger adults in most countries but only increased slightly in older adults in about half and decreased in about one quarter.
“Our findings suggest that whatever is triggering the rise in these cancers is more likely to be common across all age groups, rather than specific to cancers in the under 50s, since there were similar increases in younger and older adults,” Amy Berrington de González, DPhil, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, England, who led the study, said in a statement.
The authors of an editorial agreed, adding that the growing “concern about increasing cancer rates should recognize that this increase is not restricted to young adults but affects all generations.”
The study and editorial were published recently in Annals of Internal Medicine.
Data Defy Early-Onset Cancer Epidemic Narrative
A growing body of evidence suggests that cancer incidence rates are increasing among younger adults in many countries. However, studies tracking international trends have largely evaluated cancer incidence in younger adults without comparing these trends in older adults or analyses have focused the age comparison in individual countries, Berrington de González and colleagues explained.
To better understand cancer incidence trends across countries and age groups, the researchers evaluated cancer trends in 42 countries between 2003 and 2017, focusing on 13 cancer types previously reported to be climbing in adults younger than age 50 years.
The researchers found that incidence rates for six of the 13 cancer types increased among younger adults (aged 20-49 years) in more than three quarters of the countries studied.
The largest increase was in thyroid cancer (median average annual percentage change [AAPC], 3.57%), followed by kidney cancer (median AAPC, 2.21%), endometrial cancer (median AAPC, 1.66%), CRC (median AAPC, 1.45%), breast cancer (median AAPC, 0.89%), and leukemia (median AAPC, 0.78%).
But with the exception of CRC, incidence rates for these cancers increased to a similar degree in adults aged 50 years or older — with median AAPCs of 3% (vs 3.57%) for thyroid cancer, 1.65% (vs 2.21%) for kidney cancer, 1.20% (vs 1.66%) for endometrial cancer, 0.86% (vs 0.89%) for breast cancer, and 0.61% (vs 0.78%) for leukemia.
In older adults, CRC incidence rates only increased in about half the countries (median AAPC, 0.37%), and the annual percentage change was much greater in younger than older adults in nearly 70% of countries. CRC incidence rates in older individuals also decreased in nearly 25% of countries.
Why is CRC an apparent outlier?
“Bowel cancer screening not only helps detect cancer at earlier stages but also helps prevent cancer through the removal of premalignant lesions,” Berrington de González said. “This could be why bowel cancer cases seem to be rising faster in younger adults — we’re getting better at preventing them developing in older adults.”
The incidence of certain cancers also declined in younger adults. Specifically, rates of liver, oral, esophageal, and stomach cancers decreased in younger adults in more than half of countries assessed, with median AAPCs of -0.14% for liver, -0.42% for oral, -0.92% for esophageal, and -1.62% for stomach cancers.
Over half of countries also saw declining rates of stomach (median AAPC, -2.05%) and esophageal (median AAPC, -0.25%) cancers among older adults, while rates of liver and oral cancers increased in older individuals (median AAPC, 2.17% and 0.49%, respectively).
For gallbladder, pancreatic, and prostate cancers — three other cancers previously found to be increasing in younger adults — the researchers reported that incidence rates increased in younger adults in just over half of countries (median AAPCs, 3.2% for prostate cancer, 0.49% for gallbladder cancer, and 1% for pancreatic cancer). Incidence rates also often increased in older adults but to a lesser extent (median AAPCs, 0.75% for prostate cancer, -0.10% for gallbladder, and 0.96% for pancreatic cancer).
True Rise or Increased Scrutiny?
Why are cancer rates increasing?
“Understanding factors that contribute to the increase in incidence across the age spectrum was beyond the scope of the study,” editorialists Christopher Cann, MD, Fox Chase Cancer Center, and Efrat Dotan, MD, University of Pennsylvania Health System, both in Philadelphia, wrote.
Several studies have suggested that rising rates of obesity could help explain increasing cancer incidence, particularly in younger adults. In fact, “the cancers that we identified as increasing are all obesity-related cancers, including endometrial and kidney cancer,” Berrington de González said. However, so far, the evidence on this link remains unclear, she acknowledged.
Weighing in on the study, Gilbert Welch, MD, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, told this news organization that it’s “critically important” to distinguish between two explanations for rising cancer incidence.
There may be an increase in the true occurrence of clinically meaningful cancer, which “warrants investigation into biologic explanations, better treatment, and perhaps more testing,” Welch said.
But it may instead reflect changes in diagnostic scrutiny. “Simply put, whenever we doctors look harder for cancer, we find more,” Welch said. “And there are lots of ways to look harder: testing more people, testing people more frequently, using tests with increasing ability to detect small irregularities, and using lower diagnostic thresholds for labeling these as cancer.”
If increased incidence is the result of greater diagnostic scrutiny, searching for biologic causes is bound to be unproductive and more testing will only aggravate the problem, he explained.
Welch pointed out that the fastest rising cancer in both younger and older adults was thyroid cancer (AAPC, ≥ 3%), which is “exquisitely sensitive” to diagnostic scrutiny.
Take what happened in South Korea. Around 2000, the government of South Korea started a national screening program for breast, colon, and stomach cancers. Doctors and hospitals often added on ultrasound scans for thyroid cancer for a small additional fee.
“A decade later the rate of thyroid cancer diagnosis had increased 15-fold, turning what was once a rare cancer into the most common cancer in Korea,” Welch said. “But the death rate from thyroid cancer did not change. This was not an epidemic of disease; this was an epidemic of diagnosis.”
Welch also noted that the study authors and editorialists put the finding in perspective by explaining that, despite the rising rates of certain cancers in younger adults, cancer remains rare in these adults.
Welch highlighted that, for younger adults in the US, cancer death rates in young adults have cut in half over the last 30 years. “Cancer accounts for only 10% of deaths in young people in the US — and that number is falling,” Welch said.
The study was funded by the Institute of Cancer Research and the National Institutes of Health Intramural Research Program. Disclosures for authors and editorial writers are available with the original articles. Welch reported receiving royalties from three books including “Should I be tested for cancer?”
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
A global analysis challenged the notion that a rise in cancer is disproportionately affecting younger adults, finding instead that several cancer types previously seen rising in younger adults are also increasing in older adults.
More specifically, the analysis found that incidence rates for thyroid cancer, breast cancer, kidney cancer, endometrial cancer, and leukemia increased similarly in both younger and older adults in most countries over a 15-year period. Colorectal cancer (CRC) was the exception, where incidence rates increased in younger adults in most countries but only increased slightly in older adults in about half and decreased in about one quarter.
“Our findings suggest that whatever is triggering the rise in these cancers is more likely to be common across all age groups, rather than specific to cancers in the under 50s, since there were similar increases in younger and older adults,” Amy Berrington de González, DPhil, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, England, who led the study, said in a statement.
The authors of an editorial agreed, adding that the growing “concern about increasing cancer rates should recognize that this increase is not restricted to young adults but affects all generations.”
The study and editorial were published recently in Annals of Internal Medicine.
Data Defy Early-Onset Cancer Epidemic Narrative
A growing body of evidence suggests that cancer incidence rates are increasing among younger adults in many countries. However, studies tracking international trends have largely evaluated cancer incidence in younger adults without comparing these trends in older adults or analyses have focused the age comparison in individual countries, Berrington de González and colleagues explained.
To better understand cancer incidence trends across countries and age groups, the researchers evaluated cancer trends in 42 countries between 2003 and 2017, focusing on 13 cancer types previously reported to be climbing in adults younger than age 50 years.
The researchers found that incidence rates for six of the 13 cancer types increased among younger adults (aged 20-49 years) in more than three quarters of the countries studied.
The largest increase was in thyroid cancer (median average annual percentage change [AAPC], 3.57%), followed by kidney cancer (median AAPC, 2.21%), endometrial cancer (median AAPC, 1.66%), CRC (median AAPC, 1.45%), breast cancer (median AAPC, 0.89%), and leukemia (median AAPC, 0.78%).
But with the exception of CRC, incidence rates for these cancers increased to a similar degree in adults aged 50 years or older — with median AAPCs of 3% (vs 3.57%) for thyroid cancer, 1.65% (vs 2.21%) for kidney cancer, 1.20% (vs 1.66%) for endometrial cancer, 0.86% (vs 0.89%) for breast cancer, and 0.61% (vs 0.78%) for leukemia.
In older adults, CRC incidence rates only increased in about half the countries (median AAPC, 0.37%), and the annual percentage change was much greater in younger than older adults in nearly 70% of countries. CRC incidence rates in older individuals also decreased in nearly 25% of countries.
Why is CRC an apparent outlier?
“Bowel cancer screening not only helps detect cancer at earlier stages but also helps prevent cancer through the removal of premalignant lesions,” Berrington de González said. “This could be why bowel cancer cases seem to be rising faster in younger adults — we’re getting better at preventing them developing in older adults.”
The incidence of certain cancers also declined in younger adults. Specifically, rates of liver, oral, esophageal, and stomach cancers decreased in younger adults in more than half of countries assessed, with median AAPCs of -0.14% for liver, -0.42% for oral, -0.92% for esophageal, and -1.62% for stomach cancers.
Over half of countries also saw declining rates of stomach (median AAPC, -2.05%) and esophageal (median AAPC, -0.25%) cancers among older adults, while rates of liver and oral cancers increased in older individuals (median AAPC, 2.17% and 0.49%, respectively).
For gallbladder, pancreatic, and prostate cancers — three other cancers previously found to be increasing in younger adults — the researchers reported that incidence rates increased in younger adults in just over half of countries (median AAPCs, 3.2% for prostate cancer, 0.49% for gallbladder cancer, and 1% for pancreatic cancer). Incidence rates also often increased in older adults but to a lesser extent (median AAPCs, 0.75% for prostate cancer, -0.10% for gallbladder, and 0.96% for pancreatic cancer).
True Rise or Increased Scrutiny?
Why are cancer rates increasing?
“Understanding factors that contribute to the increase in incidence across the age spectrum was beyond the scope of the study,” editorialists Christopher Cann, MD, Fox Chase Cancer Center, and Efrat Dotan, MD, University of Pennsylvania Health System, both in Philadelphia, wrote.
Several studies have suggested that rising rates of obesity could help explain increasing cancer incidence, particularly in younger adults. In fact, “the cancers that we identified as increasing are all obesity-related cancers, including endometrial and kidney cancer,” Berrington de González said. However, so far, the evidence on this link remains unclear, she acknowledged.
Weighing in on the study, Gilbert Welch, MD, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, told this news organization that it’s “critically important” to distinguish between two explanations for rising cancer incidence.
There may be an increase in the true occurrence of clinically meaningful cancer, which “warrants investigation into biologic explanations, better treatment, and perhaps more testing,” Welch said.
But it may instead reflect changes in diagnostic scrutiny. “Simply put, whenever we doctors look harder for cancer, we find more,” Welch said. “And there are lots of ways to look harder: testing more people, testing people more frequently, using tests with increasing ability to detect small irregularities, and using lower diagnostic thresholds for labeling these as cancer.”
If increased incidence is the result of greater diagnostic scrutiny, searching for biologic causes is bound to be unproductive and more testing will only aggravate the problem, he explained.
Welch pointed out that the fastest rising cancer in both younger and older adults was thyroid cancer (AAPC, ≥ 3%), which is “exquisitely sensitive” to diagnostic scrutiny.
Take what happened in South Korea. Around 2000, the government of South Korea started a national screening program for breast, colon, and stomach cancers. Doctors and hospitals often added on ultrasound scans for thyroid cancer for a small additional fee.
“A decade later the rate of thyroid cancer diagnosis had increased 15-fold, turning what was once a rare cancer into the most common cancer in Korea,” Welch said. “But the death rate from thyroid cancer did not change. This was not an epidemic of disease; this was an epidemic of diagnosis.”
Welch also noted that the study authors and editorialists put the finding in perspective by explaining that, despite the rising rates of certain cancers in younger adults, cancer remains rare in these adults.
Welch highlighted that, for younger adults in the US, cancer death rates in young adults have cut in half over the last 30 years. “Cancer accounts for only 10% of deaths in young people in the US — and that number is falling,” Welch said.
The study was funded by the Institute of Cancer Research and the National Institutes of Health Intramural Research Program. Disclosures for authors and editorial writers are available with the original articles. Welch reported receiving royalties from three books including “Should I be tested for cancer?”
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.
A global analysis challenged the notion that a rise in cancer is disproportionately affecting younger adults, finding instead that several cancer types previously seen rising in younger adults are also increasing in older adults.
More specifically, the analysis found that incidence rates for thyroid cancer, breast cancer, kidney cancer, endometrial cancer, and leukemia increased similarly in both younger and older adults in most countries over a 15-year period. Colorectal cancer (CRC) was the exception, where incidence rates increased in younger adults in most countries but only increased slightly in older adults in about half and decreased in about one quarter.
“Our findings suggest that whatever is triggering the rise in these cancers is more likely to be common across all age groups, rather than specific to cancers in the under 50s, since there were similar increases in younger and older adults,” Amy Berrington de González, DPhil, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, England, who led the study, said in a statement.
The authors of an editorial agreed, adding that the growing “concern about increasing cancer rates should recognize that this increase is not restricted to young adults but affects all generations.”
The study and editorial were published recently in Annals of Internal Medicine.
Data Defy Early-Onset Cancer Epidemic Narrative
A growing body of evidence suggests that cancer incidence rates are increasing among younger adults in many countries. However, studies tracking international trends have largely evaluated cancer incidence in younger adults without comparing these trends in older adults or analyses have focused the age comparison in individual countries, Berrington de González and colleagues explained.
To better understand cancer incidence trends across countries and age groups, the researchers evaluated cancer trends in 42 countries between 2003 and 2017, focusing on 13 cancer types previously reported to be climbing in adults younger than age 50 years.
The researchers found that incidence rates for six of the 13 cancer types increased among younger adults (aged 20-49 years) in more than three quarters of the countries studied.
The largest increase was in thyroid cancer (median average annual percentage change [AAPC], 3.57%), followed by kidney cancer (median AAPC, 2.21%), endometrial cancer (median AAPC, 1.66%), CRC (median AAPC, 1.45%), breast cancer (median AAPC, 0.89%), and leukemia (median AAPC, 0.78%).
But with the exception of CRC, incidence rates for these cancers increased to a similar degree in adults aged 50 years or older — with median AAPCs of 3% (vs 3.57%) for thyroid cancer, 1.65% (vs 2.21%) for kidney cancer, 1.20% (vs 1.66%) for endometrial cancer, 0.86% (vs 0.89%) for breast cancer, and 0.61% (vs 0.78%) for leukemia.
In older adults, CRC incidence rates only increased in about half the countries (median AAPC, 0.37%), and the annual percentage change was much greater in younger than older adults in nearly 70% of countries. CRC incidence rates in older individuals also decreased in nearly 25% of countries.
Why is CRC an apparent outlier?
“Bowel cancer screening not only helps detect cancer at earlier stages but also helps prevent cancer through the removal of premalignant lesions,” Berrington de González said. “This could be why bowel cancer cases seem to be rising faster in younger adults — we’re getting better at preventing them developing in older adults.”
The incidence of certain cancers also declined in younger adults. Specifically, rates of liver, oral, esophageal, and stomach cancers decreased in younger adults in more than half of countries assessed, with median AAPCs of -0.14% for liver, -0.42% for oral, -0.92% for esophageal, and -1.62% for stomach cancers.
Over half of countries also saw declining rates of stomach (median AAPC, -2.05%) and esophageal (median AAPC, -0.25%) cancers among older adults, while rates of liver and oral cancers increased in older individuals (median AAPC, 2.17% and 0.49%, respectively).
For gallbladder, pancreatic, and prostate cancers — three other cancers previously found to be increasing in younger adults — the researchers reported that incidence rates increased in younger adults in just over half of countries (median AAPCs, 3.2% for prostate cancer, 0.49% for gallbladder cancer, and 1% for pancreatic cancer). Incidence rates also often increased in older adults but to a lesser extent (median AAPCs, 0.75% for prostate cancer, -0.10% for gallbladder, and 0.96% for pancreatic cancer).
True Rise or Increased Scrutiny?
Why are cancer rates increasing?
“Understanding factors that contribute to the increase in incidence across the age spectrum was beyond the scope of the study,” editorialists Christopher Cann, MD, Fox Chase Cancer Center, and Efrat Dotan, MD, University of Pennsylvania Health System, both in Philadelphia, wrote.
Several studies have suggested that rising rates of obesity could help explain increasing cancer incidence, particularly in younger adults. In fact, “the cancers that we identified as increasing are all obesity-related cancers, including endometrial and kidney cancer,” Berrington de González said. However, so far, the evidence on this link remains unclear, she acknowledged.
Weighing in on the study, Gilbert Welch, MD, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, told this news organization that it’s “critically important” to distinguish between two explanations for rising cancer incidence.
There may be an increase in the true occurrence of clinically meaningful cancer, which “warrants investigation into biologic explanations, better treatment, and perhaps more testing,” Welch said.
But it may instead reflect changes in diagnostic scrutiny. “Simply put, whenever we doctors look harder for cancer, we find more,” Welch said. “And there are lots of ways to look harder: testing more people, testing people more frequently, using tests with increasing ability to detect small irregularities, and using lower diagnostic thresholds for labeling these as cancer.”
If increased incidence is the result of greater diagnostic scrutiny, searching for biologic causes is bound to be unproductive and more testing will only aggravate the problem, he explained.
Welch pointed out that the fastest rising cancer in both younger and older adults was thyroid cancer (AAPC, ≥ 3%), which is “exquisitely sensitive” to diagnostic scrutiny.
Take what happened in South Korea. Around 2000, the government of South Korea started a national screening program for breast, colon, and stomach cancers. Doctors and hospitals often added on ultrasound scans for thyroid cancer for a small additional fee.
“A decade later the rate of thyroid cancer diagnosis had increased 15-fold, turning what was once a rare cancer into the most common cancer in Korea,” Welch said. “But the death rate from thyroid cancer did not change. This was not an epidemic of disease; this was an epidemic of diagnosis.”
Welch also noted that the study authors and editorialists put the finding in perspective by explaining that, despite the rising rates of certain cancers in younger adults, cancer remains rare in these adults.
Welch highlighted that, for younger adults in the US, cancer death rates in young adults have cut in half over the last 30 years. “Cancer accounts for only 10% of deaths in young people in the US — and that number is falling,” Welch said.
The study was funded by the Institute of Cancer Research and the National Institutes of Health Intramural Research Program. Disclosures for authors and editorial writers are available with the original articles. Welch reported receiving royalties from three books including “Should I be tested for cancer?”
A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.