Your Guide to COVID Vaccines for 2024-2025

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The updated COVID vaccines for 2024-2025 are officially here, designed to target the latest variants and offer robust protection — but getting Americans to roll up their sleeves could prove harder than ever. With COVID cases on the decline, many people feel the urgency has passed.

As of December 2, the CDC reports that COVID test positivity remains low, rising slightly to 4.5% for the week ending November 23, compared with 4.2% the previous week. That’s a far cry from the early days of 2022, when positivity rates soared above 30%. Emergency room visits for COVID now make up just 0.5%, and deaths are down to 0.8% of total weekly fatalities, compared to 1% the previous week.

This steady improvement in the numbers may explain why a recent Pew Research Center survey revealed that 6 in 10 US adults have no plans to get the updated vaccine this year.

As of December 2, according to the CDC, just 19.7% of the US adult population and 9.4% of children had gotten the updated vaccine. The age group most likely? Adults ages 65 and older, with 41.6% getting the updated shot.

Despite the good news about declining cases, our pandemic history suggests a pre-holiday increase is likely. On November 20, the CDC warned it expects levels of both COVID and RSV (respiratory syncytial virus) to rise in the coming weeks — the familiar post-Thanksgiving, pre-Christmas, and Hanukkah increase.

Here’s what to know about the 2024-2025 vaccines — what’s available, how the updated versions are tested, how well each protects you, side effects and other safety information, the best time to get them, and where.



 

What’s Available?

Three updated vaccines, which work two different ways, are authorized or licensed by the FDA for the 2024-2025 season:

Novavax. A protein subunit vaccine, Novavax is authorized for emergency use by the FDA in people ages 12 and older. The vaccine makes a protein that mimics the SARS-CoV-2 virus’ version of the spike protein and combines it with an adjuvant or “booster” to stimulate a protective immune response. This year’s version targets the JN.1 variant.

Pfizer/BioNTech. Its Comirnaty is a fully licensed vaccine for people ages 12 and older. Its mechanism of action is by messenger RNA (mRNA). It works by instructing cells to produce viral proteins, triggering an immune response. Pfizer’s COVID vaccine is authorized for emergency use in children ages 6 months to 11 years. This year’s version targets KP.2.

Moderna. Its Spikevax is a fully licensed vaccine for people ages 12 and older. It is also an mRNA vaccine. Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine is authorized for emergency use in children ages 6 months to 11 years. This year’s version targets KP.2.

 

How Effective Are They?

Before being approved for this year’s use, each company had to show its updated vaccine is effective against the currently circulating variants. For the 2 weeks ending November 23, KP.3.1.1 and XEC, from the Omicron lineage, made up the majority of cases, according to CDC data.

How do the vaccine makers know their updated vaccines are targeting the circulating variants? The companies use “pre-clinical” data, which means the updated versions have not yet been tested in people but in other ways, such as animal studies. But they do have to prove to the FDA that their updated vaccine can neutralize the circulating variants.

Companies continue to monitor their updated vaccines as new variants appear. Later in the season, there will be more specific information about how well each vaccine protects in people after tracking real-world data.

 

What About Side Effects?

The CDC lists comparable side effects for both mRNA and protein COVID vaccines, including pain and soreness from the needle, fatigue, headache, muscle pain joint pain, chills, fever, nausea, and vomiting.

Severe allergic reactions are rare, the CDC says, but cautions to be alert for low blood pressure, swelling of the lips, tongue, or throat, or difficulty breathing.

 

Which One Is Best?

“I consider the three currently available COVID vaccines — Pfizer, Moderna, and Novavax — interchangeable,’’ said Scott Roberts, MD, an infectious diseases specialist and assistant professor of medicine at Yale School of Medicine in New Haven, Connecticut. “There have not been head-to-head studies, and the initial vaccine studies for each were performed at different phases of the pandemic, so we do not have great data to guide which one is better than another.”

He does point out the different mechanisms of action, which may make a difference in people’s choice of vaccines. “So if someone has a reaction to one of them, they can switch to a different brand.”

 

Best Time to Get It?

“We have consistently seen COVID rates rise quite significantly in the winter season, especially around the holidays. So if anyone is on the fence and hasn’t gotten the updated vaccine yet, now is a great time to get it to maximize immunity for the holidays,” he said.

What’s next? In late October, the CDC recommended a second dose of the 2024-2025 vaccine 6 months after the first one for those age 65 and above and those 6 months old and older who are moderately or severely immunocompromised.

Now, while it’s tempting to think rates are down and will continue to drop steadily, Roberts reminds people that pandemic history suggests otherwise.

 

Coverage

Most people can get COVID-19 vaccines at no cost through their private health insurance, Medicaid, or Medicare. For the uninsured, there’s also the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program or access through state and local health departments and some health centers. Find details on the CDC website.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.

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The updated COVID vaccines for 2024-2025 are officially here, designed to target the latest variants and offer robust protection — but getting Americans to roll up their sleeves could prove harder than ever. With COVID cases on the decline, many people feel the urgency has passed.

As of December 2, the CDC reports that COVID test positivity remains low, rising slightly to 4.5% for the week ending November 23, compared with 4.2% the previous week. That’s a far cry from the early days of 2022, when positivity rates soared above 30%. Emergency room visits for COVID now make up just 0.5%, and deaths are down to 0.8% of total weekly fatalities, compared to 1% the previous week.

This steady improvement in the numbers may explain why a recent Pew Research Center survey revealed that 6 in 10 US adults have no plans to get the updated vaccine this year.

As of December 2, according to the CDC, just 19.7% of the US adult population and 9.4% of children had gotten the updated vaccine. The age group most likely? Adults ages 65 and older, with 41.6% getting the updated shot.

Despite the good news about declining cases, our pandemic history suggests a pre-holiday increase is likely. On November 20, the CDC warned it expects levels of both COVID and RSV (respiratory syncytial virus) to rise in the coming weeks — the familiar post-Thanksgiving, pre-Christmas, and Hanukkah increase.

Here’s what to know about the 2024-2025 vaccines — what’s available, how the updated versions are tested, how well each protects you, side effects and other safety information, the best time to get them, and where.



 

What’s Available?

Three updated vaccines, which work two different ways, are authorized or licensed by the FDA for the 2024-2025 season:

Novavax. A protein subunit vaccine, Novavax is authorized for emergency use by the FDA in people ages 12 and older. The vaccine makes a protein that mimics the SARS-CoV-2 virus’ version of the spike protein and combines it with an adjuvant or “booster” to stimulate a protective immune response. This year’s version targets the JN.1 variant.

Pfizer/BioNTech. Its Comirnaty is a fully licensed vaccine for people ages 12 and older. Its mechanism of action is by messenger RNA (mRNA). It works by instructing cells to produce viral proteins, triggering an immune response. Pfizer’s COVID vaccine is authorized for emergency use in children ages 6 months to 11 years. This year’s version targets KP.2.

Moderna. Its Spikevax is a fully licensed vaccine for people ages 12 and older. It is also an mRNA vaccine. Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine is authorized for emergency use in children ages 6 months to 11 years. This year’s version targets KP.2.

 

How Effective Are They?

Before being approved for this year’s use, each company had to show its updated vaccine is effective against the currently circulating variants. For the 2 weeks ending November 23, KP.3.1.1 and XEC, from the Omicron lineage, made up the majority of cases, according to CDC data.

How do the vaccine makers know their updated vaccines are targeting the circulating variants? The companies use “pre-clinical” data, which means the updated versions have not yet been tested in people but in other ways, such as animal studies. But they do have to prove to the FDA that their updated vaccine can neutralize the circulating variants.

Companies continue to monitor their updated vaccines as new variants appear. Later in the season, there will be more specific information about how well each vaccine protects in people after tracking real-world data.

 

What About Side Effects?

The CDC lists comparable side effects for both mRNA and protein COVID vaccines, including pain and soreness from the needle, fatigue, headache, muscle pain joint pain, chills, fever, nausea, and vomiting.

Severe allergic reactions are rare, the CDC says, but cautions to be alert for low blood pressure, swelling of the lips, tongue, or throat, or difficulty breathing.

 

Which One Is Best?

“I consider the three currently available COVID vaccines — Pfizer, Moderna, and Novavax — interchangeable,’’ said Scott Roberts, MD, an infectious diseases specialist and assistant professor of medicine at Yale School of Medicine in New Haven, Connecticut. “There have not been head-to-head studies, and the initial vaccine studies for each were performed at different phases of the pandemic, so we do not have great data to guide which one is better than another.”

He does point out the different mechanisms of action, which may make a difference in people’s choice of vaccines. “So if someone has a reaction to one of them, they can switch to a different brand.”

 

Best Time to Get It?

“We have consistently seen COVID rates rise quite significantly in the winter season, especially around the holidays. So if anyone is on the fence and hasn’t gotten the updated vaccine yet, now is a great time to get it to maximize immunity for the holidays,” he said.

What’s next? In late October, the CDC recommended a second dose of the 2024-2025 vaccine 6 months after the first one for those age 65 and above and those 6 months old and older who are moderately or severely immunocompromised.

Now, while it’s tempting to think rates are down and will continue to drop steadily, Roberts reminds people that pandemic history suggests otherwise.

 

Coverage

Most people can get COVID-19 vaccines at no cost through their private health insurance, Medicaid, or Medicare. For the uninsured, there’s also the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program or access through state and local health departments and some health centers. Find details on the CDC website.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.

The updated COVID vaccines for 2024-2025 are officially here, designed to target the latest variants and offer robust protection — but getting Americans to roll up their sleeves could prove harder than ever. With COVID cases on the decline, many people feel the urgency has passed.

As of December 2, the CDC reports that COVID test positivity remains low, rising slightly to 4.5% for the week ending November 23, compared with 4.2% the previous week. That’s a far cry from the early days of 2022, when positivity rates soared above 30%. Emergency room visits for COVID now make up just 0.5%, and deaths are down to 0.8% of total weekly fatalities, compared to 1% the previous week.

This steady improvement in the numbers may explain why a recent Pew Research Center survey revealed that 6 in 10 US adults have no plans to get the updated vaccine this year.

As of December 2, according to the CDC, just 19.7% of the US adult population and 9.4% of children had gotten the updated vaccine. The age group most likely? Adults ages 65 and older, with 41.6% getting the updated shot.

Despite the good news about declining cases, our pandemic history suggests a pre-holiday increase is likely. On November 20, the CDC warned it expects levels of both COVID and RSV (respiratory syncytial virus) to rise in the coming weeks — the familiar post-Thanksgiving, pre-Christmas, and Hanukkah increase.

Here’s what to know about the 2024-2025 vaccines — what’s available, how the updated versions are tested, how well each protects you, side effects and other safety information, the best time to get them, and where.



 

What’s Available?

Three updated vaccines, which work two different ways, are authorized or licensed by the FDA for the 2024-2025 season:

Novavax. A protein subunit vaccine, Novavax is authorized for emergency use by the FDA in people ages 12 and older. The vaccine makes a protein that mimics the SARS-CoV-2 virus’ version of the spike protein and combines it with an adjuvant or “booster” to stimulate a protective immune response. This year’s version targets the JN.1 variant.

Pfizer/BioNTech. Its Comirnaty is a fully licensed vaccine for people ages 12 and older. Its mechanism of action is by messenger RNA (mRNA). It works by instructing cells to produce viral proteins, triggering an immune response. Pfizer’s COVID vaccine is authorized for emergency use in children ages 6 months to 11 years. This year’s version targets KP.2.

Moderna. Its Spikevax is a fully licensed vaccine for people ages 12 and older. It is also an mRNA vaccine. Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine is authorized for emergency use in children ages 6 months to 11 years. This year’s version targets KP.2.

 

How Effective Are They?

Before being approved for this year’s use, each company had to show its updated vaccine is effective against the currently circulating variants. For the 2 weeks ending November 23, KP.3.1.1 and XEC, from the Omicron lineage, made up the majority of cases, according to CDC data.

How do the vaccine makers know their updated vaccines are targeting the circulating variants? The companies use “pre-clinical” data, which means the updated versions have not yet been tested in people but in other ways, such as animal studies. But they do have to prove to the FDA that their updated vaccine can neutralize the circulating variants.

Companies continue to monitor their updated vaccines as new variants appear. Later in the season, there will be more specific information about how well each vaccine protects in people after tracking real-world data.

 

What About Side Effects?

The CDC lists comparable side effects for both mRNA and protein COVID vaccines, including pain and soreness from the needle, fatigue, headache, muscle pain joint pain, chills, fever, nausea, and vomiting.

Severe allergic reactions are rare, the CDC says, but cautions to be alert for low blood pressure, swelling of the lips, tongue, or throat, or difficulty breathing.

 

Which One Is Best?

“I consider the three currently available COVID vaccines — Pfizer, Moderna, and Novavax — interchangeable,’’ said Scott Roberts, MD, an infectious diseases specialist and assistant professor of medicine at Yale School of Medicine in New Haven, Connecticut. “There have not been head-to-head studies, and the initial vaccine studies for each were performed at different phases of the pandemic, so we do not have great data to guide which one is better than another.”

He does point out the different mechanisms of action, which may make a difference in people’s choice of vaccines. “So if someone has a reaction to one of them, they can switch to a different brand.”

 

Best Time to Get It?

“We have consistently seen COVID rates rise quite significantly in the winter season, especially around the holidays. So if anyone is on the fence and hasn’t gotten the updated vaccine yet, now is a great time to get it to maximize immunity for the holidays,” he said.

What’s next? In late October, the CDC recommended a second dose of the 2024-2025 vaccine 6 months after the first one for those age 65 and above and those 6 months old and older who are moderately or severely immunocompromised.

Now, while it’s tempting to think rates are down and will continue to drop steadily, Roberts reminds people that pandemic history suggests otherwise.

 

Coverage

Most people can get COVID-19 vaccines at no cost through their private health insurance, Medicaid, or Medicare. For the uninsured, there’s also the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program or access through state and local health departments and some health centers. Find details on the CDC website.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.

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Malpractice in the Age of AI

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Instead of sitting behind a laptop during patient visits, the pediatrician directly faces the patient and parent, relying on an ambient artificial intelligence (AI) scribe to capture the conversation for the electronic health record (EHR). A geriatrician doing rounds at the senior living facility plugs each patient’s medications into an AI tool, checking for drug interactions. And a busy hospital radiology department runs all its emergency head CTs through an AI algorithm, triaging potential stroke patients to ensure they receive the highest priority. None of these physicians have been sued for malpractice for AI usage, but they wonder if they’re at risk.

In a recent Medscape report, AI Adoption in Healthcare, 224 physicians responded to the statement: “I want to do more with AI but I worry about malpractice risk if I move too fast.” Seventeen percent said that they strongly agreed while 23% said they agreed — a full 40% were concerned about using the technology for legal reasons.  

Malpractice and AI are on many minds in healthcare, especially in large health systems, Deepika Srivastava, chief operating officer at The Doctors Company, told this news organization. “AI is at the forefront of the conversation, and they’re [large health systems] raising questions. Larger systems want to protect themselves.” 

The good news is there’s currently no sign of legal action over the clinical use of AI. “We’re not seeing even a few AI-related suits just yet,” but the risk is growing, Srivastava said, “and that’s why we’re talking about it. The legal system will need to adapt to address the role of AI in healthcare.”

 

How Doctors Are Using AI

Healthcare is incorporating AI in multiple ways based on the type of tool and function needed. Narrow AI is popular in fields like radiology, comparing two large data sets to find differences between them. Narrow AI can help differentiate between normal and abnormal tissue, such as breast or lung tumors. Almost 900 AI health tools have Food and Drug Administration approval as of July 2024, discerning abnormalities and recognizing patterns better than many humans, said Robert Pearl, MD, author of ChatGPT, MD: How AI-Empowered Patients & Doctors Can Take Back Control of American Medicine and former CEO of The Permanente Medical Group.

Narrow AI can improve diagnostic speed and accuracy for other specialties, too, including dermatology and ophthalmology, Pearl said. “It’s less clear to me if it will be very beneficial in primary care, neurology, and psychiatry, areas of medicine that involve a lot of words.” In those specialties, some may use generative AI as a repository of resources. In clinical practice, ambient AI is also used to create health records based on patient/clinician conversations.

In clinical administration, AI is used for scheduling, billing, and submitting insurance claims. On the insurer side, denying claims based on AI algorithms has been at the heart of legal actions, making recent headlines. 

 

Malpractice Risks When Using AI

Accuracy and privacy should be at the top of the list for malpractice concerns with AI. With accuracy, liability could partially be determined by use type. If a diagnostic application makes the wrong diagnosis, “the company has legal accountability because it created and had to test it specific to the application that it’s being recommended for,” Pearl said. 

However, keeping a human in the loop is a smart move when using AI diagnostic tools. The physician should still choose the AI-suggested diagnosis or a different one. If it’s the wrong diagnosis, “it’s really hard to currently say where is the source of the error? Was it the physician? Was it the tool?” Srivastava added.

With an incorrect diagnosis by generative AI, liability is more apparent. “You’re taking that accountability,” Pearl said. Generative AI operates in a black box, predicting the correct answer based on information stored in a database. “Generative AI tries to draw a correlation between what it has seen and predicting the next output,” said Alex Shahrestani, managing partner of Promise Legal PLLC, a law firm in Austin, Texas. He serves on the State Bar of Texas’s Taskforce on AI and the Law and has participated in advisory groups related to AI policies with the National Institute of Standards and Technology. “A doctor should know to validate information given back to them by AI,” applying their own medical training and judgment.

Generative AI can provide ideas. Pearl shared a story about a surgeon who was unable to remove a breathing tube that was stuck in a patients’ throat at the end of a procedure. The surgeon checked ChatGPT in the operating room, finding a similar case. Adrenaline in the anesthetic restricted the blood vessels, causing the vocal cords to stick together. Following the AI information, the surgeon allowed more time for the anesthesia to diffuse. As it wore off, the vocal cords separated, easing the removal of the breathing tube. “That is the kind of expertise it can provide,” Pearl said.

Privacy is a common AI concern, but it may be more problematic than it should be. “Many think if you talk to an AI system, you’re surrendering personal information the model can learn from,” said Shahrestani. Platforms offer opt-outs. Even without opting out, the model won’t automatically ingest your interactions. That’s not a privacy feature, but a concern by the developer that the information may not help the model. 

“If you do use these opt-out mechanisms, and you have the requisite amount of confidentiality, you can use ChatGPT without too much concern about the patient information being released into the wild,” Shahrestani said. Or use systems with stricter requirements that keep all data on site.

 

Malpractice Insurance Policies and AI

Currently, malpractice policies do not specify AI coverage. “We don’t ask right now to list all the technology you’re using,” said Srivastava. Many EHR systems already incorporate AI. If a human provider is in the loop, already vetted and insured, “we should be okay when it comes to the risk of malpractice when doctors are using AI because it’s still the risk that we’re ensuring.”

Insurers are paying attention, though. “Traditional medical malpractice law does require re-evaluation because the rapid pace of AI development has outpaced the efforts to integrate it into the legal system,” Srivastava said.

Some, including Pearl, believe AI will actually lower the malpractice risk. Having more data points to consider can make doctors’ jobs faster, easier, and more accurate. “I believe the technology will decrease lawsuits, not increase them,” said Pearl.

 

Meanwhile, How Can Doctors Protect Themselves From an AI Malpractice Suit?

Know your tool: Providers should understand the tool they’re deploying, what it provides, how it was built and trained (including potential biases), how it was tested, and the guidelines for how to use it or not use it, said Srivastava. Evaluate each tool, use case, and risk separately. “Don’t just say it’s all AI.” 

With generative AI, users will have better success requesting information that has been available longer and is more widely accessed. “It’s more likely to come back correctly,” said Shahrestani. If the information sought is fairly new or not widespread, the tool may try to draw problematic conclusions. 

Document: “Document, document, document. Just making sure you have good documentation can really help you if litigation comes up and it’s related to the AI tools,” Srivastava said.

Try it out: “I recommend you use [generative AI] a lot so you understand its strengths and shortcomings,” said Shahrestani. “If you wait until things settle, you’ll be further behind.” 

Pretend you’re the patient and give the tool the information you’d give a doctor and see the results, said Pearl. It will provide you with an idea of what it can do. “No one would sue you because you went to the library to look up information in the textbooks,” he said — using generative AI is similar. Try the free versions first; if you begin relying on it more, the paid versions have better features and are inexpensive. 

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Instead of sitting behind a laptop during patient visits, the pediatrician directly faces the patient and parent, relying on an ambient artificial intelligence (AI) scribe to capture the conversation for the electronic health record (EHR). A geriatrician doing rounds at the senior living facility plugs each patient’s medications into an AI tool, checking for drug interactions. And a busy hospital radiology department runs all its emergency head CTs through an AI algorithm, triaging potential stroke patients to ensure they receive the highest priority. None of these physicians have been sued for malpractice for AI usage, but they wonder if they’re at risk.

In a recent Medscape report, AI Adoption in Healthcare, 224 physicians responded to the statement: “I want to do more with AI but I worry about malpractice risk if I move too fast.” Seventeen percent said that they strongly agreed while 23% said they agreed — a full 40% were concerned about using the technology for legal reasons.  

Malpractice and AI are on many minds in healthcare, especially in large health systems, Deepika Srivastava, chief operating officer at The Doctors Company, told this news organization. “AI is at the forefront of the conversation, and they’re [large health systems] raising questions. Larger systems want to protect themselves.” 

The good news is there’s currently no sign of legal action over the clinical use of AI. “We’re not seeing even a few AI-related suits just yet,” but the risk is growing, Srivastava said, “and that’s why we’re talking about it. The legal system will need to adapt to address the role of AI in healthcare.”

 

How Doctors Are Using AI

Healthcare is incorporating AI in multiple ways based on the type of tool and function needed. Narrow AI is popular in fields like radiology, comparing two large data sets to find differences between them. Narrow AI can help differentiate between normal and abnormal tissue, such as breast or lung tumors. Almost 900 AI health tools have Food and Drug Administration approval as of July 2024, discerning abnormalities and recognizing patterns better than many humans, said Robert Pearl, MD, author of ChatGPT, MD: How AI-Empowered Patients & Doctors Can Take Back Control of American Medicine and former CEO of The Permanente Medical Group.

Narrow AI can improve diagnostic speed and accuracy for other specialties, too, including dermatology and ophthalmology, Pearl said. “It’s less clear to me if it will be very beneficial in primary care, neurology, and psychiatry, areas of medicine that involve a lot of words.” In those specialties, some may use generative AI as a repository of resources. In clinical practice, ambient AI is also used to create health records based on patient/clinician conversations.

In clinical administration, AI is used for scheduling, billing, and submitting insurance claims. On the insurer side, denying claims based on AI algorithms has been at the heart of legal actions, making recent headlines. 

 

Malpractice Risks When Using AI

Accuracy and privacy should be at the top of the list for malpractice concerns with AI. With accuracy, liability could partially be determined by use type. If a diagnostic application makes the wrong diagnosis, “the company has legal accountability because it created and had to test it specific to the application that it’s being recommended for,” Pearl said. 

However, keeping a human in the loop is a smart move when using AI diagnostic tools. The physician should still choose the AI-suggested diagnosis or a different one. If it’s the wrong diagnosis, “it’s really hard to currently say where is the source of the error? Was it the physician? Was it the tool?” Srivastava added.

With an incorrect diagnosis by generative AI, liability is more apparent. “You’re taking that accountability,” Pearl said. Generative AI operates in a black box, predicting the correct answer based on information stored in a database. “Generative AI tries to draw a correlation between what it has seen and predicting the next output,” said Alex Shahrestani, managing partner of Promise Legal PLLC, a law firm in Austin, Texas. He serves on the State Bar of Texas’s Taskforce on AI and the Law and has participated in advisory groups related to AI policies with the National Institute of Standards and Technology. “A doctor should know to validate information given back to them by AI,” applying their own medical training and judgment.

Generative AI can provide ideas. Pearl shared a story about a surgeon who was unable to remove a breathing tube that was stuck in a patients’ throat at the end of a procedure. The surgeon checked ChatGPT in the operating room, finding a similar case. Adrenaline in the anesthetic restricted the blood vessels, causing the vocal cords to stick together. Following the AI information, the surgeon allowed more time for the anesthesia to diffuse. As it wore off, the vocal cords separated, easing the removal of the breathing tube. “That is the kind of expertise it can provide,” Pearl said.

Privacy is a common AI concern, but it may be more problematic than it should be. “Many think if you talk to an AI system, you’re surrendering personal information the model can learn from,” said Shahrestani. Platforms offer opt-outs. Even without opting out, the model won’t automatically ingest your interactions. That’s not a privacy feature, but a concern by the developer that the information may not help the model. 

“If you do use these opt-out mechanisms, and you have the requisite amount of confidentiality, you can use ChatGPT without too much concern about the patient information being released into the wild,” Shahrestani said. Or use systems with stricter requirements that keep all data on site.

 

Malpractice Insurance Policies and AI

Currently, malpractice policies do not specify AI coverage. “We don’t ask right now to list all the technology you’re using,” said Srivastava. Many EHR systems already incorporate AI. If a human provider is in the loop, already vetted and insured, “we should be okay when it comes to the risk of malpractice when doctors are using AI because it’s still the risk that we’re ensuring.”

Insurers are paying attention, though. “Traditional medical malpractice law does require re-evaluation because the rapid pace of AI development has outpaced the efforts to integrate it into the legal system,” Srivastava said.

Some, including Pearl, believe AI will actually lower the malpractice risk. Having more data points to consider can make doctors’ jobs faster, easier, and more accurate. “I believe the technology will decrease lawsuits, not increase them,” said Pearl.

 

Meanwhile, How Can Doctors Protect Themselves From an AI Malpractice Suit?

Know your tool: Providers should understand the tool they’re deploying, what it provides, how it was built and trained (including potential biases), how it was tested, and the guidelines for how to use it or not use it, said Srivastava. Evaluate each tool, use case, and risk separately. “Don’t just say it’s all AI.” 

With generative AI, users will have better success requesting information that has been available longer and is more widely accessed. “It’s more likely to come back correctly,” said Shahrestani. If the information sought is fairly new or not widespread, the tool may try to draw problematic conclusions. 

Document: “Document, document, document. Just making sure you have good documentation can really help you if litigation comes up and it’s related to the AI tools,” Srivastava said.

Try it out: “I recommend you use [generative AI] a lot so you understand its strengths and shortcomings,” said Shahrestani. “If you wait until things settle, you’ll be further behind.” 

Pretend you’re the patient and give the tool the information you’d give a doctor and see the results, said Pearl. It will provide you with an idea of what it can do. “No one would sue you because you went to the library to look up information in the textbooks,” he said — using generative AI is similar. Try the free versions first; if you begin relying on it more, the paid versions have better features and are inexpensive. 

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Instead of sitting behind a laptop during patient visits, the pediatrician directly faces the patient and parent, relying on an ambient artificial intelligence (AI) scribe to capture the conversation for the electronic health record (EHR). A geriatrician doing rounds at the senior living facility plugs each patient’s medications into an AI tool, checking for drug interactions. And a busy hospital radiology department runs all its emergency head CTs through an AI algorithm, triaging potential stroke patients to ensure they receive the highest priority. None of these physicians have been sued for malpractice for AI usage, but they wonder if they’re at risk.

In a recent Medscape report, AI Adoption in Healthcare, 224 physicians responded to the statement: “I want to do more with AI but I worry about malpractice risk if I move too fast.” Seventeen percent said that they strongly agreed while 23% said they agreed — a full 40% were concerned about using the technology for legal reasons.  

Malpractice and AI are on many minds in healthcare, especially in large health systems, Deepika Srivastava, chief operating officer at The Doctors Company, told this news organization. “AI is at the forefront of the conversation, and they’re [large health systems] raising questions. Larger systems want to protect themselves.” 

The good news is there’s currently no sign of legal action over the clinical use of AI. “We’re not seeing even a few AI-related suits just yet,” but the risk is growing, Srivastava said, “and that’s why we’re talking about it. The legal system will need to adapt to address the role of AI in healthcare.”

 

How Doctors Are Using AI

Healthcare is incorporating AI in multiple ways based on the type of tool and function needed. Narrow AI is popular in fields like radiology, comparing two large data sets to find differences between them. Narrow AI can help differentiate between normal and abnormal tissue, such as breast or lung tumors. Almost 900 AI health tools have Food and Drug Administration approval as of July 2024, discerning abnormalities and recognizing patterns better than many humans, said Robert Pearl, MD, author of ChatGPT, MD: How AI-Empowered Patients & Doctors Can Take Back Control of American Medicine and former CEO of The Permanente Medical Group.

Narrow AI can improve diagnostic speed and accuracy for other specialties, too, including dermatology and ophthalmology, Pearl said. “It’s less clear to me if it will be very beneficial in primary care, neurology, and psychiatry, areas of medicine that involve a lot of words.” In those specialties, some may use generative AI as a repository of resources. In clinical practice, ambient AI is also used to create health records based on patient/clinician conversations.

In clinical administration, AI is used for scheduling, billing, and submitting insurance claims. On the insurer side, denying claims based on AI algorithms has been at the heart of legal actions, making recent headlines. 

 

Malpractice Risks When Using AI

Accuracy and privacy should be at the top of the list for malpractice concerns with AI. With accuracy, liability could partially be determined by use type. If a diagnostic application makes the wrong diagnosis, “the company has legal accountability because it created and had to test it specific to the application that it’s being recommended for,” Pearl said. 

However, keeping a human in the loop is a smart move when using AI diagnostic tools. The physician should still choose the AI-suggested diagnosis or a different one. If it’s the wrong diagnosis, “it’s really hard to currently say where is the source of the error? Was it the physician? Was it the tool?” Srivastava added.

With an incorrect diagnosis by generative AI, liability is more apparent. “You’re taking that accountability,” Pearl said. Generative AI operates in a black box, predicting the correct answer based on information stored in a database. “Generative AI tries to draw a correlation between what it has seen and predicting the next output,” said Alex Shahrestani, managing partner of Promise Legal PLLC, a law firm in Austin, Texas. He serves on the State Bar of Texas’s Taskforce on AI and the Law and has participated in advisory groups related to AI policies with the National Institute of Standards and Technology. “A doctor should know to validate information given back to them by AI,” applying their own medical training and judgment.

Generative AI can provide ideas. Pearl shared a story about a surgeon who was unable to remove a breathing tube that was stuck in a patients’ throat at the end of a procedure. The surgeon checked ChatGPT in the operating room, finding a similar case. Adrenaline in the anesthetic restricted the blood vessels, causing the vocal cords to stick together. Following the AI information, the surgeon allowed more time for the anesthesia to diffuse. As it wore off, the vocal cords separated, easing the removal of the breathing tube. “That is the kind of expertise it can provide,” Pearl said.

Privacy is a common AI concern, but it may be more problematic than it should be. “Many think if you talk to an AI system, you’re surrendering personal information the model can learn from,” said Shahrestani. Platforms offer opt-outs. Even without opting out, the model won’t automatically ingest your interactions. That’s not a privacy feature, but a concern by the developer that the information may not help the model. 

“If you do use these opt-out mechanisms, and you have the requisite amount of confidentiality, you can use ChatGPT without too much concern about the patient information being released into the wild,” Shahrestani said. Or use systems with stricter requirements that keep all data on site.

 

Malpractice Insurance Policies and AI

Currently, malpractice policies do not specify AI coverage. “We don’t ask right now to list all the technology you’re using,” said Srivastava. Many EHR systems already incorporate AI. If a human provider is in the loop, already vetted and insured, “we should be okay when it comes to the risk of malpractice when doctors are using AI because it’s still the risk that we’re ensuring.”

Insurers are paying attention, though. “Traditional medical malpractice law does require re-evaluation because the rapid pace of AI development has outpaced the efforts to integrate it into the legal system,” Srivastava said.

Some, including Pearl, believe AI will actually lower the malpractice risk. Having more data points to consider can make doctors’ jobs faster, easier, and more accurate. “I believe the technology will decrease lawsuits, not increase them,” said Pearl.

 

Meanwhile, How Can Doctors Protect Themselves From an AI Malpractice Suit?

Know your tool: Providers should understand the tool they’re deploying, what it provides, how it was built and trained (including potential biases), how it was tested, and the guidelines for how to use it or not use it, said Srivastava. Evaluate each tool, use case, and risk separately. “Don’t just say it’s all AI.” 

With generative AI, users will have better success requesting information that has been available longer and is more widely accessed. “It’s more likely to come back correctly,” said Shahrestani. If the information sought is fairly new or not widespread, the tool may try to draw problematic conclusions. 

Document: “Document, document, document. Just making sure you have good documentation can really help you if litigation comes up and it’s related to the AI tools,” Srivastava said.

Try it out: “I recommend you use [generative AI] a lot so you understand its strengths and shortcomings,” said Shahrestani. “If you wait until things settle, you’ll be further behind.” 

Pretend you’re the patient and give the tool the information you’d give a doctor and see the results, said Pearl. It will provide you with an idea of what it can do. “No one would sue you because you went to the library to look up information in the textbooks,” he said — using generative AI is similar. Try the free versions first; if you begin relying on it more, the paid versions have better features and are inexpensive. 

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Obesity Medications: Could Coverage Offset Obesity Care Costs?

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The question may seem simple: Could paying for weight loss medications — especially the pricey glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1s), tirzepatide (Zepbound) and semaglutide (Wegovy) — be more cost-effective than paying for obesity care and the complications of obesity, such as cardiovascular disease and diabetes?

It’s a question that’s getting an increased amount of attention.

And for good reason — more than two in five US adults have obesity, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and costs to treat obesity, in 2019 dollars, approached $173 billion, including productivity losses. Adults with obesity have annual healthcare costs of $1861 more than those at healthier weights.

Among recent developments:

  • A proposed new rule, announced on November 26 by the Biden administration, expands coverage of anti-obesity medication for Americans who have Medicare and Medicaid. If it takes effect, an estimated 3.4 million Medicare recipients and about 4 million adult Medicaid enrollees could get access to the medications.
  • As Medicare coverage goes, private insurers often follow. Observers predict that if the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) covers anti-obesity drugs, more private employers may soon do the same. Recently, however, some private plans have done the opposite and dropped coverage of the pricey GLP-1s, which can cost $1000 a month or more out-of-pocket, citing excess costs for their company.
  • Among the analyses about the value of weight loss on healthcare cost savings is a report published on December 5 in JAMA Network Open. Emory University experts looked at privately insured adults and adult Medicare beneficiaries with a body mass index (BMI) of ≥ 25 (classified as overweight). The conclusion: Projected annual savings from weight loss among US adults with obesity were substantial for both employee-based insurance and Medicare recipients.
  • Besides helping obesity and obesity-related conditions, access to GLP-1s could have a favorable effect on productivity, others claim. That’s one focus of a 5-year partnership between the University of Manchester in England, and Eli Lilly and Company. Called SURMOUNT-REAL UK, the study will evaluate the effectiveness of tirzepatide in weight loss, diabetes prevention, and prevention of obesity-related complications in adults with obesity. It also aims to look at changes in health-related quality of life with weight loss and with changes in employment status and sick days.

CMS Proposal

In a statement announcing the proposal for Medicare and Medicaid to offer weight loss drugs, the White House noted that “tens of millions of Americans struggle with obesity” but that currently Medicare only covers the anti-obesity medications for certain conditions such as diabetes. The new proposal would expand that access to those with obesity. As of August, just 13 states cover GLP-1s in Medicaid programs, and North Carolina was the latest to do so.

Organizations advocating for health equity and recognition that obesity is a chronic disease came out in strong support of the proposal.

Kenneth E. Thorpe, PhD, a health policy expert at Emory University in Atlanta, who coauthored the recent analysis finding that weight loss offsets healthcare costs on an individual basis, told this news organization: “If finalized, this broad new coverage [by Medicare and Medicaid] would have a profound impact on the ability of Americans to access these novel medications that could significantly reduce obesity-related healthcare spending and improve overall health.”

The proposal “is modernizing the coverage of Medicare and Medicaid for obesity treatment,” agreed John Cawley, PhD, professor of economics and public policy at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York, who has researched the direct medical costs of obesity in the United States. “In this HHS rule, they talk about the scientific and medical consensus that having obesity is a chronic condition.”

The proposal requires a 60-day comment period that ends January 27, 2025, taking the timeline into the beginning of the Trump administration. Cawley and others pointed out that Trump’s pick for Health and Human Services Secretary, Robert F. Kennedy Jr, has been an outspoken opponent of the anti-obesity medicines, suggesting instead that Americans simply eat better.

 

Expert Analyses: Emory, Cornell, Southern California

So would paying for the pricey GLP-1s be smart in the long term? Analyses don’t agree.

Weight loss among those with obesity produces healthcare cost savings, said Thorpe and Peter Joski, MSPH, an associate research professor at Emory University. The two compared annual healthcare spending among privately insured adults and adult Medicare beneficiaries with a BMI of ≥ 25, using data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey — Household Component from April 1 to June 20, 2024.

The researchers looked at 3774 adults insured with Medicare and 13,435 with employer-sponsored insurance. Overall, those with private insurance with a weight loss of 5% spent an estimated average of $670 less on healthcare. Those with a weight loss of 25% spent an estimated $2849 less on healthcare. Among those with Medicare who had one or more comorbidities, a 5% weight loss reduced spending by $1262 on average; a 25% loss reduced it by an estimated $5442, or 31%.

Thorpe called the savings substantial. In an email interview, Thorpe said, “So yes, weight loss for people living with obesity does lower healthcare costs, as my research shows, but it also lowers other costs as well.”

These include costs associated with disability, workers’ compensation, presenteeism/absenteeism, and everyday costs, he said. He contends that “those other costs should factor into decisions about preventing and treating obesity of payors and policymakers and enhance the case for cost-effectiveness of treating obesity.”

Other research suggests it’s important to target the use of the anti-obesity medications to the BMI range that would get the most benefit. For people just barely above the BMI threshold of 30, no cost savings are expected, Cawley found in his research. But he has found substantial cost reduction if the BMI was 35-40.

However, as Cawley pointed out, as the drugs get cheaper and more options become available, the entire scenario is expected to shift.

 

The Congressional Budget Office View

In October, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office issued a report, “How Would Authorizing Medicare to Cover Anti-Obesity Medications Affect the Federal Budget?” Among the conclusions: Covering the anti-obesity medications would increase federal spending, on net, by about $35 billion from 2026 to 2034. Total direct federal costs of covering the medication would increase from $1.6 billion in 2026 to $7.1 billion in 2034. And it said total savings from improved health of the beneficiaries would be small, less than $50 million in 2026 and rising to $1 billion in 2034.

Covering the medications would cost $5600 per user in 2026, then down to $4300 in 2034. The offset of savings per user would be about $50 in 2026, then $650 in 2034.

 

Expert Analysis: USC Schaeffer Center

“The costs offsets come over time,” said Alison Sexton Ward, PhD, an economist at the University of Southern California’s Leonard D. Schaeffer Center, Los Angeles, and an expert on the topic. “If we look at the average annual medical cost over a lifetime, we do see cost offsets there.”

However, treating obesity means people will live longer, “and living longer costs more,” she said.

She took issue with some of the calculations in the CBO report, such as not considering the effect of semaglutide’s patent expiring in 2033.

In a white paper published in April 2023, Sexton Ward and her coauthors modeled potential social benefits and medical cost offsets from granting access to the newer weight loss drugs. The cumulative social benefits of providing coverage over the next decade would reach nearly $1 trillion, they said. Benefits would increase if private insurance expanded coverage. “In the first 10 years alone, covering weight loss therapies would save Medicare $175 billion-$245 billion, depending on whether private insurance joins Medicare in providing coverage for younger populations.”

While much focus is on Medicare coverage, Sexton Ward and others pointed out the need to expand coverage to younger ages, with the aim of preventing or delaying obesity-related complications.

 

Lilly UK Trial

A spokesperson for Lilly declined to comment further on the UK study, explaining that the study was just launching.

Besides tracking weight loss, researchers will evaluate the effect of the weight loss on sick days from work and employment. Obesity is shown to affect a person’s ability to work, leading to more absenteeism, so treating the obesity may improve productivity.

 

Beyond Health: The Value of Weight Loss

“I love the idea of studying whether access to obesity medications helps people stay employed and do their job,” said Cristy Gallagher, associate director of Research and Policy at STOP Obesity Alliance at the Milken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University, Washington, DC. The alliance includes more than 50 organizations advocating for adult obesity treatment.

“One of our big arguments is [that] access to care, and to obesity care, will also help other conditions — comorbidities like heart disease and diabetes.”

However, access to the anti-obesity medications, by itself, is not enough, Gallagher said. Other components, such as intensive behavioral therapy and guidance about diet and exercise, are needed, she said. So, too, for those who need it, is access to bariatric surgery, she said. And medication access should include other options besides the GLP-1s, she said. “Not every medication is right for everybody.”

Cawley, Gallagher, Thorpe, and Sexton Ward had no disclosures.
 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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The question may seem simple: Could paying for weight loss medications — especially the pricey glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1s), tirzepatide (Zepbound) and semaglutide (Wegovy) — be more cost-effective than paying for obesity care and the complications of obesity, such as cardiovascular disease and diabetes?

It’s a question that’s getting an increased amount of attention.

And for good reason — more than two in five US adults have obesity, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and costs to treat obesity, in 2019 dollars, approached $173 billion, including productivity losses. Adults with obesity have annual healthcare costs of $1861 more than those at healthier weights.

Among recent developments:

  • A proposed new rule, announced on November 26 by the Biden administration, expands coverage of anti-obesity medication for Americans who have Medicare and Medicaid. If it takes effect, an estimated 3.4 million Medicare recipients and about 4 million adult Medicaid enrollees could get access to the medications.
  • As Medicare coverage goes, private insurers often follow. Observers predict that if the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) covers anti-obesity drugs, more private employers may soon do the same. Recently, however, some private plans have done the opposite and dropped coverage of the pricey GLP-1s, which can cost $1000 a month or more out-of-pocket, citing excess costs for their company.
  • Among the analyses about the value of weight loss on healthcare cost savings is a report published on December 5 in JAMA Network Open. Emory University experts looked at privately insured adults and adult Medicare beneficiaries with a body mass index (BMI) of ≥ 25 (classified as overweight). The conclusion: Projected annual savings from weight loss among US adults with obesity were substantial for both employee-based insurance and Medicare recipients.
  • Besides helping obesity and obesity-related conditions, access to GLP-1s could have a favorable effect on productivity, others claim. That’s one focus of a 5-year partnership between the University of Manchester in England, and Eli Lilly and Company. Called SURMOUNT-REAL UK, the study will evaluate the effectiveness of tirzepatide in weight loss, diabetes prevention, and prevention of obesity-related complications in adults with obesity. It also aims to look at changes in health-related quality of life with weight loss and with changes in employment status and sick days.

CMS Proposal

In a statement announcing the proposal for Medicare and Medicaid to offer weight loss drugs, the White House noted that “tens of millions of Americans struggle with obesity” but that currently Medicare only covers the anti-obesity medications for certain conditions such as diabetes. The new proposal would expand that access to those with obesity. As of August, just 13 states cover GLP-1s in Medicaid programs, and North Carolina was the latest to do so.

Organizations advocating for health equity and recognition that obesity is a chronic disease came out in strong support of the proposal.

Kenneth E. Thorpe, PhD, a health policy expert at Emory University in Atlanta, who coauthored the recent analysis finding that weight loss offsets healthcare costs on an individual basis, told this news organization: “If finalized, this broad new coverage [by Medicare and Medicaid] would have a profound impact on the ability of Americans to access these novel medications that could significantly reduce obesity-related healthcare spending and improve overall health.”

The proposal “is modernizing the coverage of Medicare and Medicaid for obesity treatment,” agreed John Cawley, PhD, professor of economics and public policy at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York, who has researched the direct medical costs of obesity in the United States. “In this HHS rule, they talk about the scientific and medical consensus that having obesity is a chronic condition.”

The proposal requires a 60-day comment period that ends January 27, 2025, taking the timeline into the beginning of the Trump administration. Cawley and others pointed out that Trump’s pick for Health and Human Services Secretary, Robert F. Kennedy Jr, has been an outspoken opponent of the anti-obesity medicines, suggesting instead that Americans simply eat better.

 

Expert Analyses: Emory, Cornell, Southern California

So would paying for the pricey GLP-1s be smart in the long term? Analyses don’t agree.

Weight loss among those with obesity produces healthcare cost savings, said Thorpe and Peter Joski, MSPH, an associate research professor at Emory University. The two compared annual healthcare spending among privately insured adults and adult Medicare beneficiaries with a BMI of ≥ 25, using data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey — Household Component from April 1 to June 20, 2024.

The researchers looked at 3774 adults insured with Medicare and 13,435 with employer-sponsored insurance. Overall, those with private insurance with a weight loss of 5% spent an estimated average of $670 less on healthcare. Those with a weight loss of 25% spent an estimated $2849 less on healthcare. Among those with Medicare who had one or more comorbidities, a 5% weight loss reduced spending by $1262 on average; a 25% loss reduced it by an estimated $5442, or 31%.

Thorpe called the savings substantial. In an email interview, Thorpe said, “So yes, weight loss for people living with obesity does lower healthcare costs, as my research shows, but it also lowers other costs as well.”

These include costs associated with disability, workers’ compensation, presenteeism/absenteeism, and everyday costs, he said. He contends that “those other costs should factor into decisions about preventing and treating obesity of payors and policymakers and enhance the case for cost-effectiveness of treating obesity.”

Other research suggests it’s important to target the use of the anti-obesity medications to the BMI range that would get the most benefit. For people just barely above the BMI threshold of 30, no cost savings are expected, Cawley found in his research. But he has found substantial cost reduction if the BMI was 35-40.

However, as Cawley pointed out, as the drugs get cheaper and more options become available, the entire scenario is expected to shift.

 

The Congressional Budget Office View

In October, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office issued a report, “How Would Authorizing Medicare to Cover Anti-Obesity Medications Affect the Federal Budget?” Among the conclusions: Covering the anti-obesity medications would increase federal spending, on net, by about $35 billion from 2026 to 2034. Total direct federal costs of covering the medication would increase from $1.6 billion in 2026 to $7.1 billion in 2034. And it said total savings from improved health of the beneficiaries would be small, less than $50 million in 2026 and rising to $1 billion in 2034.

Covering the medications would cost $5600 per user in 2026, then down to $4300 in 2034. The offset of savings per user would be about $50 in 2026, then $650 in 2034.

 

Expert Analysis: USC Schaeffer Center

“The costs offsets come over time,” said Alison Sexton Ward, PhD, an economist at the University of Southern California’s Leonard D. Schaeffer Center, Los Angeles, and an expert on the topic. “If we look at the average annual medical cost over a lifetime, we do see cost offsets there.”

However, treating obesity means people will live longer, “and living longer costs more,” she said.

She took issue with some of the calculations in the CBO report, such as not considering the effect of semaglutide’s patent expiring in 2033.

In a white paper published in April 2023, Sexton Ward and her coauthors modeled potential social benefits and medical cost offsets from granting access to the newer weight loss drugs. The cumulative social benefits of providing coverage over the next decade would reach nearly $1 trillion, they said. Benefits would increase if private insurance expanded coverage. “In the first 10 years alone, covering weight loss therapies would save Medicare $175 billion-$245 billion, depending on whether private insurance joins Medicare in providing coverage for younger populations.”

While much focus is on Medicare coverage, Sexton Ward and others pointed out the need to expand coverage to younger ages, with the aim of preventing or delaying obesity-related complications.

 

Lilly UK Trial

A spokesperson for Lilly declined to comment further on the UK study, explaining that the study was just launching.

Besides tracking weight loss, researchers will evaluate the effect of the weight loss on sick days from work and employment. Obesity is shown to affect a person’s ability to work, leading to more absenteeism, so treating the obesity may improve productivity.

 

Beyond Health: The Value of Weight Loss

“I love the idea of studying whether access to obesity medications helps people stay employed and do their job,” said Cristy Gallagher, associate director of Research and Policy at STOP Obesity Alliance at the Milken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University, Washington, DC. The alliance includes more than 50 organizations advocating for adult obesity treatment.

“One of our big arguments is [that] access to care, and to obesity care, will also help other conditions — comorbidities like heart disease and diabetes.”

However, access to the anti-obesity medications, by itself, is not enough, Gallagher said. Other components, such as intensive behavioral therapy and guidance about diet and exercise, are needed, she said. So, too, for those who need it, is access to bariatric surgery, she said. And medication access should include other options besides the GLP-1s, she said. “Not every medication is right for everybody.”

Cawley, Gallagher, Thorpe, and Sexton Ward had no disclosures.
 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.


The question may seem simple: Could paying for weight loss medications — especially the pricey glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1s), tirzepatide (Zepbound) and semaglutide (Wegovy) — be more cost-effective than paying for obesity care and the complications of obesity, such as cardiovascular disease and diabetes?

It’s a question that’s getting an increased amount of attention.

And for good reason — more than two in five US adults have obesity, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and costs to treat obesity, in 2019 dollars, approached $173 billion, including productivity losses. Adults with obesity have annual healthcare costs of $1861 more than those at healthier weights.

Among recent developments:

  • A proposed new rule, announced on November 26 by the Biden administration, expands coverage of anti-obesity medication for Americans who have Medicare and Medicaid. If it takes effect, an estimated 3.4 million Medicare recipients and about 4 million adult Medicaid enrollees could get access to the medications.
  • As Medicare coverage goes, private insurers often follow. Observers predict that if the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) covers anti-obesity drugs, more private employers may soon do the same. Recently, however, some private plans have done the opposite and dropped coverage of the pricey GLP-1s, which can cost $1000 a month or more out-of-pocket, citing excess costs for their company.
  • Among the analyses about the value of weight loss on healthcare cost savings is a report published on December 5 in JAMA Network Open. Emory University experts looked at privately insured adults and adult Medicare beneficiaries with a body mass index (BMI) of ≥ 25 (classified as overweight). The conclusion: Projected annual savings from weight loss among US adults with obesity were substantial for both employee-based insurance and Medicare recipients.
  • Besides helping obesity and obesity-related conditions, access to GLP-1s could have a favorable effect on productivity, others claim. That’s one focus of a 5-year partnership between the University of Manchester in England, and Eli Lilly and Company. Called SURMOUNT-REAL UK, the study will evaluate the effectiveness of tirzepatide in weight loss, diabetes prevention, and prevention of obesity-related complications in adults with obesity. It also aims to look at changes in health-related quality of life with weight loss and with changes in employment status and sick days.

CMS Proposal

In a statement announcing the proposal for Medicare and Medicaid to offer weight loss drugs, the White House noted that “tens of millions of Americans struggle with obesity” but that currently Medicare only covers the anti-obesity medications for certain conditions such as diabetes. The new proposal would expand that access to those with obesity. As of August, just 13 states cover GLP-1s in Medicaid programs, and North Carolina was the latest to do so.

Organizations advocating for health equity and recognition that obesity is a chronic disease came out in strong support of the proposal.

Kenneth E. Thorpe, PhD, a health policy expert at Emory University in Atlanta, who coauthored the recent analysis finding that weight loss offsets healthcare costs on an individual basis, told this news organization: “If finalized, this broad new coverage [by Medicare and Medicaid] would have a profound impact on the ability of Americans to access these novel medications that could significantly reduce obesity-related healthcare spending and improve overall health.”

The proposal “is modernizing the coverage of Medicare and Medicaid for obesity treatment,” agreed John Cawley, PhD, professor of economics and public policy at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York, who has researched the direct medical costs of obesity in the United States. “In this HHS rule, they talk about the scientific and medical consensus that having obesity is a chronic condition.”

The proposal requires a 60-day comment period that ends January 27, 2025, taking the timeline into the beginning of the Trump administration. Cawley and others pointed out that Trump’s pick for Health and Human Services Secretary, Robert F. Kennedy Jr, has been an outspoken opponent of the anti-obesity medicines, suggesting instead that Americans simply eat better.

 

Expert Analyses: Emory, Cornell, Southern California

So would paying for the pricey GLP-1s be smart in the long term? Analyses don’t agree.

Weight loss among those with obesity produces healthcare cost savings, said Thorpe and Peter Joski, MSPH, an associate research professor at Emory University. The two compared annual healthcare spending among privately insured adults and adult Medicare beneficiaries with a BMI of ≥ 25, using data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey — Household Component from April 1 to June 20, 2024.

The researchers looked at 3774 adults insured with Medicare and 13,435 with employer-sponsored insurance. Overall, those with private insurance with a weight loss of 5% spent an estimated average of $670 less on healthcare. Those with a weight loss of 25% spent an estimated $2849 less on healthcare. Among those with Medicare who had one or more comorbidities, a 5% weight loss reduced spending by $1262 on average; a 25% loss reduced it by an estimated $5442, or 31%.

Thorpe called the savings substantial. In an email interview, Thorpe said, “So yes, weight loss for people living with obesity does lower healthcare costs, as my research shows, but it also lowers other costs as well.”

These include costs associated with disability, workers’ compensation, presenteeism/absenteeism, and everyday costs, he said. He contends that “those other costs should factor into decisions about preventing and treating obesity of payors and policymakers and enhance the case for cost-effectiveness of treating obesity.”

Other research suggests it’s important to target the use of the anti-obesity medications to the BMI range that would get the most benefit. For people just barely above the BMI threshold of 30, no cost savings are expected, Cawley found in his research. But he has found substantial cost reduction if the BMI was 35-40.

However, as Cawley pointed out, as the drugs get cheaper and more options become available, the entire scenario is expected to shift.

 

The Congressional Budget Office View

In October, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office issued a report, “How Would Authorizing Medicare to Cover Anti-Obesity Medications Affect the Federal Budget?” Among the conclusions: Covering the anti-obesity medications would increase federal spending, on net, by about $35 billion from 2026 to 2034. Total direct federal costs of covering the medication would increase from $1.6 billion in 2026 to $7.1 billion in 2034. And it said total savings from improved health of the beneficiaries would be small, less than $50 million in 2026 and rising to $1 billion in 2034.

Covering the medications would cost $5600 per user in 2026, then down to $4300 in 2034. The offset of savings per user would be about $50 in 2026, then $650 in 2034.

 

Expert Analysis: USC Schaeffer Center

“The costs offsets come over time,” said Alison Sexton Ward, PhD, an economist at the University of Southern California’s Leonard D. Schaeffer Center, Los Angeles, and an expert on the topic. “If we look at the average annual medical cost over a lifetime, we do see cost offsets there.”

However, treating obesity means people will live longer, “and living longer costs more,” she said.

She took issue with some of the calculations in the CBO report, such as not considering the effect of semaglutide’s patent expiring in 2033.

In a white paper published in April 2023, Sexton Ward and her coauthors modeled potential social benefits and medical cost offsets from granting access to the newer weight loss drugs. The cumulative social benefits of providing coverage over the next decade would reach nearly $1 trillion, they said. Benefits would increase if private insurance expanded coverage. “In the first 10 years alone, covering weight loss therapies would save Medicare $175 billion-$245 billion, depending on whether private insurance joins Medicare in providing coverage for younger populations.”

While much focus is on Medicare coverage, Sexton Ward and others pointed out the need to expand coverage to younger ages, with the aim of preventing or delaying obesity-related complications.

 

Lilly UK Trial

A spokesperson for Lilly declined to comment further on the UK study, explaining that the study was just launching.

Besides tracking weight loss, researchers will evaluate the effect of the weight loss on sick days from work and employment. Obesity is shown to affect a person’s ability to work, leading to more absenteeism, so treating the obesity may improve productivity.

 

Beyond Health: The Value of Weight Loss

“I love the idea of studying whether access to obesity medications helps people stay employed and do their job,” said Cristy Gallagher, associate director of Research and Policy at STOP Obesity Alliance at the Milken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University, Washington, DC. The alliance includes more than 50 organizations advocating for adult obesity treatment.

“One of our big arguments is [that] access to care, and to obesity care, will also help other conditions — comorbidities like heart disease and diabetes.”

However, access to the anti-obesity medications, by itself, is not enough, Gallagher said. Other components, such as intensive behavioral therapy and guidance about diet and exercise, are needed, she said. So, too, for those who need it, is access to bariatric surgery, she said. And medication access should include other options besides the GLP-1s, she said. “Not every medication is right for everybody.”

Cawley, Gallagher, Thorpe, and Sexton Ward had no disclosures.
 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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How Can GPs Recognize and Respond to Domestic Abuse?

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Domestic abuse is a leading cause of violence against women in Europe. In France alone, 122 women were killed by their partner or ex-partner in 2021. A 2024 study led by French GP Dr Noémie Deparis, who has expertise in domestic violence, revealed that female victims often want their GPs to recognize signs of abuse and offer support. 

In this interview with Medscape, Deparis provides practical advice for doctors on identifying the subtle signs of domestic violence and offering compassionate, effective support to affected patients.

How can GPs identify victims of domestic abuse during consultations? What are the signs and symptoms they should look out for?

GPs play an important role in identifying victims of domestic violence or child abuse. They need to be alert to any signs that might suggest violence. Physical signs may include unexplained or recurring injuries, scars, and bruising in unusual areas such as the torso, back, or face. Delays in seeking care for their injuries may also be a cause for concern.

There are also psychological signs to look out for, including anxiety, depression, sleep problems, and lowered self-esteem. Other signs can include a change in the patient’s behavior or avoidance behavior. A partner who dominates the consultation, prevents the victim from speaking freely, or watches her excessively could also be an indicator.

There are also contextual signs to look out for — for example, frequent consultations for chronic pain, and multiple reasons for vague, unexplained symptoms such as headaches, abdominal pain, and chronic fatigue. A medical history that is incompatible with the explanations given by the patient can also be a warning sign, as can medical nomadism, where a patient consults with multiple GPs for the same symptoms over a period of time. 

It is crucial to remember that domestic violence can affect individuals across all sociocultural backgrounds, ages, and sexual orientations. Every GP’s patient population includes people who may have experienced domestic violence. In my practice, I’ve developed the habit of reminding myself that when there’s a patient I don’t understand or the situation isn’t clear, it’s often a signal to ask the question.

How can GPs initiate conversations on the topic sensitively, should they have concerns?

For GPs to be able to ask the question systematically when they suspect violence, the most important point is that they themselves should be comfortable with the question they are asking. Obviously, the question must be asked in a nonjudgmental way and in a safe and confidential environment. 

The question can be asked systematically, with a direct question and a routine to normalize the topic. For example: “This is a question I ask all my patients: Have you ever experienced violence in your life?”

GPs can also approach the subject in a more general way. For example: “You seem to be under a lot of stress recently. Is everything okay at home?” or “Sometimes when patients come in with these symptoms, they may be under pressure or experiencing stress in their lives. Could this be the case for you?”

It is essential to express understanding without insistence, depending on the patient’s response. 

Are there specific protocols or guidelines in Europe for recognizing and addressing such cases?

I don’t know enough about the particularities of each European country, but in France since 2022, the French National Authority for Health has recommended systematic screening for domestic violence. The French National Medical Council has also issued recommendations for medical certificates and reporting to the judicial authorities of victims of violence without their consent in cases of control and risk of serious and imminent danger. 

The French College of General Practitioners has recently published practical information sheets to help GPs deal with violence. For more than 5 years, the Déclic Violence website has been regularly updated to help GPs deal with and support victims of violence. Across France, an increasing number of women’s centers are being set up in every region. These centers serve as essential resources, not only for women experiencing violence but also for professionals assisting them.

Could you describe what happens in Europe once a GP confirms that a patient is a victim of domestic violence, including what steps they would take and what support is available?

When a doctor confirms a situation of violence, it is important to provide an active listening ear, a safe space, and immediate support adapted to the victim’s situation and wishes. All the information brought to our attention must be written in the medical file, both the facts reported and the physical or psychological clinical findings. This information should enable us to draw up a descriptive medical certificate at the time of the consultation, if the victim so wishes, or at a later date.

It is important not to be left on your own and to refer the victim to other health professionals; to legal, judicial, or social aid structures; to local or national associations; or to a victim support number. 

How can GPs ensure that their involvement helps victims to access broader support systems such as shelters or counseling services?

As in many areas of medical care, GPs have an important role to play in coordinating the efforts of all the professionals involved. Victims of domestic violence often require long-term monitoring, with periods of improvement and setbacks. In my consultations, I often use the concept of the cycle of violence to help patients recognize the powerful control mechanisms at play. Collaboration with support networks ensures that the victim is not isolated after their GP consultation.

What role can GPs play in documenting cases to assist with legal or social interventions?

GPs play a crucial role in documenting cases of domestic violence to support legal and social interventions. This involves maintaining detailed, objective medical records that include descriptions of injuries, the patient’s account in their own words, psychological observations, and findings from physical examinations.

GPs can issue legally recognized medical certificates detailing the injuries and their consistency. Photographic evidence, with patient consent, can further substantiate claims. GPs also contribute to risk assessments, identifying immediate dangers to the victim or others, which inform protective actions by social services or law enforcement. 

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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Domestic abuse is a leading cause of violence against women in Europe. In France alone, 122 women were killed by their partner or ex-partner in 2021. A 2024 study led by French GP Dr Noémie Deparis, who has expertise in domestic violence, revealed that female victims often want their GPs to recognize signs of abuse and offer support. 

In this interview with Medscape, Deparis provides practical advice for doctors on identifying the subtle signs of domestic violence and offering compassionate, effective support to affected patients.

How can GPs identify victims of domestic abuse during consultations? What are the signs and symptoms they should look out for?

GPs play an important role in identifying victims of domestic violence or child abuse. They need to be alert to any signs that might suggest violence. Physical signs may include unexplained or recurring injuries, scars, and bruising in unusual areas such as the torso, back, or face. Delays in seeking care for their injuries may also be a cause for concern.

There are also psychological signs to look out for, including anxiety, depression, sleep problems, and lowered self-esteem. Other signs can include a change in the patient’s behavior or avoidance behavior. A partner who dominates the consultation, prevents the victim from speaking freely, or watches her excessively could also be an indicator.

There are also contextual signs to look out for — for example, frequent consultations for chronic pain, and multiple reasons for vague, unexplained symptoms such as headaches, abdominal pain, and chronic fatigue. A medical history that is incompatible with the explanations given by the patient can also be a warning sign, as can medical nomadism, where a patient consults with multiple GPs for the same symptoms over a period of time. 

It is crucial to remember that domestic violence can affect individuals across all sociocultural backgrounds, ages, and sexual orientations. Every GP’s patient population includes people who may have experienced domestic violence. In my practice, I’ve developed the habit of reminding myself that when there’s a patient I don’t understand or the situation isn’t clear, it’s often a signal to ask the question.

How can GPs initiate conversations on the topic sensitively, should they have concerns?

For GPs to be able to ask the question systematically when they suspect violence, the most important point is that they themselves should be comfortable with the question they are asking. Obviously, the question must be asked in a nonjudgmental way and in a safe and confidential environment. 

The question can be asked systematically, with a direct question and a routine to normalize the topic. For example: “This is a question I ask all my patients: Have you ever experienced violence in your life?”

GPs can also approach the subject in a more general way. For example: “You seem to be under a lot of stress recently. Is everything okay at home?” or “Sometimes when patients come in with these symptoms, they may be under pressure or experiencing stress in their lives. Could this be the case for you?”

It is essential to express understanding without insistence, depending on the patient’s response. 

Are there specific protocols or guidelines in Europe for recognizing and addressing such cases?

I don’t know enough about the particularities of each European country, but in France since 2022, the French National Authority for Health has recommended systematic screening for domestic violence. The French National Medical Council has also issued recommendations for medical certificates and reporting to the judicial authorities of victims of violence without their consent in cases of control and risk of serious and imminent danger. 

The French College of General Practitioners has recently published practical information sheets to help GPs deal with violence. For more than 5 years, the Déclic Violence website has been regularly updated to help GPs deal with and support victims of violence. Across France, an increasing number of women’s centers are being set up in every region. These centers serve as essential resources, not only for women experiencing violence but also for professionals assisting them.

Could you describe what happens in Europe once a GP confirms that a patient is a victim of domestic violence, including what steps they would take and what support is available?

When a doctor confirms a situation of violence, it is important to provide an active listening ear, a safe space, and immediate support adapted to the victim’s situation and wishes. All the information brought to our attention must be written in the medical file, both the facts reported and the physical or psychological clinical findings. This information should enable us to draw up a descriptive medical certificate at the time of the consultation, if the victim so wishes, or at a later date.

It is important not to be left on your own and to refer the victim to other health professionals; to legal, judicial, or social aid structures; to local or national associations; or to a victim support number. 

How can GPs ensure that their involvement helps victims to access broader support systems such as shelters or counseling services?

As in many areas of medical care, GPs have an important role to play in coordinating the efforts of all the professionals involved. Victims of domestic violence often require long-term monitoring, with periods of improvement and setbacks. In my consultations, I often use the concept of the cycle of violence to help patients recognize the powerful control mechanisms at play. Collaboration with support networks ensures that the victim is not isolated after their GP consultation.

What role can GPs play in documenting cases to assist with legal or social interventions?

GPs play a crucial role in documenting cases of domestic violence to support legal and social interventions. This involves maintaining detailed, objective medical records that include descriptions of injuries, the patient’s account in their own words, psychological observations, and findings from physical examinations.

GPs can issue legally recognized medical certificates detailing the injuries and their consistency. Photographic evidence, with patient consent, can further substantiate claims. GPs also contribute to risk assessments, identifying immediate dangers to the victim or others, which inform protective actions by social services or law enforcement. 

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

Domestic abuse is a leading cause of violence against women in Europe. In France alone, 122 women were killed by their partner or ex-partner in 2021. A 2024 study led by French GP Dr Noémie Deparis, who has expertise in domestic violence, revealed that female victims often want their GPs to recognize signs of abuse and offer support. 

In this interview with Medscape, Deparis provides practical advice for doctors on identifying the subtle signs of domestic violence and offering compassionate, effective support to affected patients.

How can GPs identify victims of domestic abuse during consultations? What are the signs and symptoms they should look out for?

GPs play an important role in identifying victims of domestic violence or child abuse. They need to be alert to any signs that might suggest violence. Physical signs may include unexplained or recurring injuries, scars, and bruising in unusual areas such as the torso, back, or face. Delays in seeking care for their injuries may also be a cause for concern.

There are also psychological signs to look out for, including anxiety, depression, sleep problems, and lowered self-esteem. Other signs can include a change in the patient’s behavior or avoidance behavior. A partner who dominates the consultation, prevents the victim from speaking freely, or watches her excessively could also be an indicator.

There are also contextual signs to look out for — for example, frequent consultations for chronic pain, and multiple reasons for vague, unexplained symptoms such as headaches, abdominal pain, and chronic fatigue. A medical history that is incompatible with the explanations given by the patient can also be a warning sign, as can medical nomadism, where a patient consults with multiple GPs for the same symptoms over a period of time. 

It is crucial to remember that domestic violence can affect individuals across all sociocultural backgrounds, ages, and sexual orientations. Every GP’s patient population includes people who may have experienced domestic violence. In my practice, I’ve developed the habit of reminding myself that when there’s a patient I don’t understand or the situation isn’t clear, it’s often a signal to ask the question.

How can GPs initiate conversations on the topic sensitively, should they have concerns?

For GPs to be able to ask the question systematically when they suspect violence, the most important point is that they themselves should be comfortable with the question they are asking. Obviously, the question must be asked in a nonjudgmental way and in a safe and confidential environment. 

The question can be asked systematically, with a direct question and a routine to normalize the topic. For example: “This is a question I ask all my patients: Have you ever experienced violence in your life?”

GPs can also approach the subject in a more general way. For example: “You seem to be under a lot of stress recently. Is everything okay at home?” or “Sometimes when patients come in with these symptoms, they may be under pressure or experiencing stress in their lives. Could this be the case for you?”

It is essential to express understanding without insistence, depending on the patient’s response. 

Are there specific protocols or guidelines in Europe for recognizing and addressing such cases?

I don’t know enough about the particularities of each European country, but in France since 2022, the French National Authority for Health has recommended systematic screening for domestic violence. The French National Medical Council has also issued recommendations for medical certificates and reporting to the judicial authorities of victims of violence without their consent in cases of control and risk of serious and imminent danger. 

The French College of General Practitioners has recently published practical information sheets to help GPs deal with violence. For more than 5 years, the Déclic Violence website has been regularly updated to help GPs deal with and support victims of violence. Across France, an increasing number of women’s centers are being set up in every region. These centers serve as essential resources, not only for women experiencing violence but also for professionals assisting them.

Could you describe what happens in Europe once a GP confirms that a patient is a victim of domestic violence, including what steps they would take and what support is available?

When a doctor confirms a situation of violence, it is important to provide an active listening ear, a safe space, and immediate support adapted to the victim’s situation and wishes. All the information brought to our attention must be written in the medical file, both the facts reported and the physical or psychological clinical findings. This information should enable us to draw up a descriptive medical certificate at the time of the consultation, if the victim so wishes, or at a later date.

It is important not to be left on your own and to refer the victim to other health professionals; to legal, judicial, or social aid structures; to local or national associations; or to a victim support number. 

How can GPs ensure that their involvement helps victims to access broader support systems such as shelters or counseling services?

As in many areas of medical care, GPs have an important role to play in coordinating the efforts of all the professionals involved. Victims of domestic violence often require long-term monitoring, with periods of improvement and setbacks. In my consultations, I often use the concept of the cycle of violence to help patients recognize the powerful control mechanisms at play. Collaboration with support networks ensures that the victim is not isolated after their GP consultation.

What role can GPs play in documenting cases to assist with legal or social interventions?

GPs play a crucial role in documenting cases of domestic violence to support legal and social interventions. This involves maintaining detailed, objective medical records that include descriptions of injuries, the patient’s account in their own words, psychological observations, and findings from physical examinations.

GPs can issue legally recognized medical certificates detailing the injuries and their consistency. Photographic evidence, with patient consent, can further substantiate claims. GPs also contribute to risk assessments, identifying immediate dangers to the victim or others, which inform protective actions by social services or law enforcement. 

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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Lights, Action, Bodycams in the ED

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Working as an emergency physician can be demanding. It’s also dangerous. In a 2022 study, two thirds of emergency physicians were assaulted in the past 12 months, and one third of those assaults resulted in an injury.

The attacks included verbal assaults with threats of violence (64%), hits/slaps (40%), being spit on (31%), kicked (26%), and punched (25%). Nearly one in four physicians said they were assaulted multiple times. 

The same survey found that 85% of emergency physicians believe that violence in the emergency department (ED) has increased over the past 5 years; nearly half (45%) say it has greatly increased.

To offset this disturbing trend, healthcare systems are trying new measures to reduce or prevent violence in the ED and protect staff and patients. EDs have security cameras, metal detectors, panic alarms, and security guards. And now more security guards are using body-worn cameras (bodycams) like police wear, to protect ED doctors and staff.

 

Bodycams in the ED

Scott Hill, EdD, CPP, CHPA, a board member of the International Association for Healthcare Security and Safety Foundation, recently published a study on the impact of hospital security officers using bodycams. The study surveyed more than 100 hospitals. Fifty-three had security guards wearing bodycams; 57 had security guards without them.

The study supported the benefits of implementing body-worn cameras in a healthcare environment, said Hill, the former director of safety and security for King’s Daughters Health System in Ashland, Kentucky. “We were a little surprised by the data, but basically there was a positive impact…on the safety of hospital staff. There was higher officer confidence, better record-keeping, improved customer service, better training ... and better protection from false allegations.”

Hill told Medscape Medical News that bodycams can make for a safer ED. “The body-worn camera group believed that the cameras would have a positive impact that would make patients and staff feel safer,” said Hill. The idea is that security guards will use force more appropriately because the bodycam provides protection from false accusations.

Appropriate, timely intervention with disruptive or violent patients (or their family members) creates a safer environment for doctors, nurses, and other staff. (While the study found that hospital personnel felt safer with security guards wearing bodycams, physicians and healthcare staff were not surveyed in the study.)

 

Should Doctors Wear Bodycams?

While the idea of ED physicians or nurses wearing bodycams has been suggested, it’s a novel one to Jeffrey Goodloe, MD, an emergency physician in Tulsa, Oklahoma, and member of the American College of Emergency Physicians’ board of directors. “Even with a very vast network of colleagues, both professional and personal friends…I am personally not aware of an ER physician who wears a bodycam,” said Goodloe.

However, there’s no consensus on whether they should, he added. “If you ask 10 emergency room physicians [about wearing bodycams], some will say, ‘That would help’; some would say, ‘from an academic perspective, we don’t have the data,’ some would say, ‘what about privacy concerns?’ You’ll get all those responses,” said Goodloe.

“If a doctor is wearing a bodycam, one of the risks is that patients may not want to be upfront because they see a camera and they see it’s being recorded,” said Edward Wright, MD, a board-certified emergency medicine physician who owns freestanding emergency rooms (ERs) in San Antonio. “It could cause a lot of damage to the relationship between the patient and the physician.”

 

Other Potential Drawbacks of Bodycams

When it comes to patient care, “the presence of a body camera [on a security guard] in and of itself is not intrusive or detrimental to the professional actions of an emergency physician,” said Goodloe, who often sees police officers and security guards with bodycams in the ED. “However, when we are in the process of treating patients, there is a certain amount of privacy that patients and their families and loved ones have a reasonable right to expect in an ED.”

Wright has seen police officers wearing body cameras as well as patients using their phones to record in the ED. “That happens a lot…in Texas, anyone in a public place can record audio and video,” said Wright. “I would say the concern with anyone recording things is patient’s privacy and HIPPA concerns.” While some areas, like the waiting room and hallways, are considered public, the patient care areas are typically private — and a bodycam could violate that privacy.

“The biggest concern we have with bodycams is the unintended violation of someone else’s privacy,” said Goodloe. In an ER setting, he explains that it’s difficult for someone wearing a bodycam to prevent unintentionally recording multiple other patients in the footage. “How do we provide care and protect patient privacy?”

And while a camera makes a record, it may not always be an accurate reflection of what happened. “You might have a video record of what I said and what the patient said, but the camera doesn’t tell the whole story,” said Wright. “There are nuances, and there may be family members who are not on camera…you have to consider that something may be missing.”

Most EDs have wall-mounted security cameras; a 2023 study found that 94.7% had security cameras in key locations. Signage alerting patients of cameras is also common; more than half of EDs have signage warning patients and visitors that they are being recorded, so there may be little expectation of privacy in public areas. But unfortunately, sometimes, patients must be triaged, and treated, in the hallways of busy EDs, where they are subject to being recorded either on stationary or body-worn cameras.

 

Keeping the ED Safe

Putting aside privacy concerns, security measures meant to protect staff and patients can only do so much. “Some security measures are more of a feel-good measure,” said Wright. “We have automatic door locks for our doors, but the whole side of the building is glass…my personal feeling is that cameras can be a deterrent, but if someone has an intention to hurt someone else or is psychotic, you aren’t going to be able to stop them from what they’re going to do.”

Regardless, we’re likely to see more security measures like body-worn cameras in the ED. “Workplace safety is very much on the minds of ER physicians and ER nurses,” said Goodloe. “EDs have become sites of workplace violence with unacceptable increasing frequency…how do we solve this, [while] simultaneously not discouraging or preventing access to emergency care when and where people need it most?”

“We truly care about patient safety and our colleagues’ safety, and we want to be able to come in and make a positive difference,” said Goodloe. But ultimately, doctors want to go home safely to their families, and they want their patients to be able to do that, too.

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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Working as an emergency physician can be demanding. It’s also dangerous. In a 2022 study, two thirds of emergency physicians were assaulted in the past 12 months, and one third of those assaults resulted in an injury.

The attacks included verbal assaults with threats of violence (64%), hits/slaps (40%), being spit on (31%), kicked (26%), and punched (25%). Nearly one in four physicians said they were assaulted multiple times. 

The same survey found that 85% of emergency physicians believe that violence in the emergency department (ED) has increased over the past 5 years; nearly half (45%) say it has greatly increased.

To offset this disturbing trend, healthcare systems are trying new measures to reduce or prevent violence in the ED and protect staff and patients. EDs have security cameras, metal detectors, panic alarms, and security guards. And now more security guards are using body-worn cameras (bodycams) like police wear, to protect ED doctors and staff.

 

Bodycams in the ED

Scott Hill, EdD, CPP, CHPA, a board member of the International Association for Healthcare Security and Safety Foundation, recently published a study on the impact of hospital security officers using bodycams. The study surveyed more than 100 hospitals. Fifty-three had security guards wearing bodycams; 57 had security guards without them.

The study supported the benefits of implementing body-worn cameras in a healthcare environment, said Hill, the former director of safety and security for King’s Daughters Health System in Ashland, Kentucky. “We were a little surprised by the data, but basically there was a positive impact…on the safety of hospital staff. There was higher officer confidence, better record-keeping, improved customer service, better training ... and better protection from false allegations.”

Hill told Medscape Medical News that bodycams can make for a safer ED. “The body-worn camera group believed that the cameras would have a positive impact that would make patients and staff feel safer,” said Hill. The idea is that security guards will use force more appropriately because the bodycam provides protection from false accusations.

Appropriate, timely intervention with disruptive or violent patients (or their family members) creates a safer environment for doctors, nurses, and other staff. (While the study found that hospital personnel felt safer with security guards wearing bodycams, physicians and healthcare staff were not surveyed in the study.)

 

Should Doctors Wear Bodycams?

While the idea of ED physicians or nurses wearing bodycams has been suggested, it’s a novel one to Jeffrey Goodloe, MD, an emergency physician in Tulsa, Oklahoma, and member of the American College of Emergency Physicians’ board of directors. “Even with a very vast network of colleagues, both professional and personal friends…I am personally not aware of an ER physician who wears a bodycam,” said Goodloe.

However, there’s no consensus on whether they should, he added. “If you ask 10 emergency room physicians [about wearing bodycams], some will say, ‘That would help’; some would say, ‘from an academic perspective, we don’t have the data,’ some would say, ‘what about privacy concerns?’ You’ll get all those responses,” said Goodloe.

“If a doctor is wearing a bodycam, one of the risks is that patients may not want to be upfront because they see a camera and they see it’s being recorded,” said Edward Wright, MD, a board-certified emergency medicine physician who owns freestanding emergency rooms (ERs) in San Antonio. “It could cause a lot of damage to the relationship between the patient and the physician.”

 

Other Potential Drawbacks of Bodycams

When it comes to patient care, “the presence of a body camera [on a security guard] in and of itself is not intrusive or detrimental to the professional actions of an emergency physician,” said Goodloe, who often sees police officers and security guards with bodycams in the ED. “However, when we are in the process of treating patients, there is a certain amount of privacy that patients and their families and loved ones have a reasonable right to expect in an ED.”

Wright has seen police officers wearing body cameras as well as patients using their phones to record in the ED. “That happens a lot…in Texas, anyone in a public place can record audio and video,” said Wright. “I would say the concern with anyone recording things is patient’s privacy and HIPPA concerns.” While some areas, like the waiting room and hallways, are considered public, the patient care areas are typically private — and a bodycam could violate that privacy.

“The biggest concern we have with bodycams is the unintended violation of someone else’s privacy,” said Goodloe. In an ER setting, he explains that it’s difficult for someone wearing a bodycam to prevent unintentionally recording multiple other patients in the footage. “How do we provide care and protect patient privacy?”

And while a camera makes a record, it may not always be an accurate reflection of what happened. “You might have a video record of what I said and what the patient said, but the camera doesn’t tell the whole story,” said Wright. “There are nuances, and there may be family members who are not on camera…you have to consider that something may be missing.”

Most EDs have wall-mounted security cameras; a 2023 study found that 94.7% had security cameras in key locations. Signage alerting patients of cameras is also common; more than half of EDs have signage warning patients and visitors that they are being recorded, so there may be little expectation of privacy in public areas. But unfortunately, sometimes, patients must be triaged, and treated, in the hallways of busy EDs, where they are subject to being recorded either on stationary or body-worn cameras.

 

Keeping the ED Safe

Putting aside privacy concerns, security measures meant to protect staff and patients can only do so much. “Some security measures are more of a feel-good measure,” said Wright. “We have automatic door locks for our doors, but the whole side of the building is glass…my personal feeling is that cameras can be a deterrent, but if someone has an intention to hurt someone else or is psychotic, you aren’t going to be able to stop them from what they’re going to do.”

Regardless, we’re likely to see more security measures like body-worn cameras in the ED. “Workplace safety is very much on the minds of ER physicians and ER nurses,” said Goodloe. “EDs have become sites of workplace violence with unacceptable increasing frequency…how do we solve this, [while] simultaneously not discouraging or preventing access to emergency care when and where people need it most?”

“We truly care about patient safety and our colleagues’ safety, and we want to be able to come in and make a positive difference,” said Goodloe. But ultimately, doctors want to go home safely to their families, and they want their patients to be able to do that, too.

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

Working as an emergency physician can be demanding. It’s also dangerous. In a 2022 study, two thirds of emergency physicians were assaulted in the past 12 months, and one third of those assaults resulted in an injury.

The attacks included verbal assaults with threats of violence (64%), hits/slaps (40%), being spit on (31%), kicked (26%), and punched (25%). Nearly one in four physicians said they were assaulted multiple times. 

The same survey found that 85% of emergency physicians believe that violence in the emergency department (ED) has increased over the past 5 years; nearly half (45%) say it has greatly increased.

To offset this disturbing trend, healthcare systems are trying new measures to reduce or prevent violence in the ED and protect staff and patients. EDs have security cameras, metal detectors, panic alarms, and security guards. And now more security guards are using body-worn cameras (bodycams) like police wear, to protect ED doctors and staff.

 

Bodycams in the ED

Scott Hill, EdD, CPP, CHPA, a board member of the International Association for Healthcare Security and Safety Foundation, recently published a study on the impact of hospital security officers using bodycams. The study surveyed more than 100 hospitals. Fifty-three had security guards wearing bodycams; 57 had security guards without them.

The study supported the benefits of implementing body-worn cameras in a healthcare environment, said Hill, the former director of safety and security for King’s Daughters Health System in Ashland, Kentucky. “We were a little surprised by the data, but basically there was a positive impact…on the safety of hospital staff. There was higher officer confidence, better record-keeping, improved customer service, better training ... and better protection from false allegations.”

Hill told Medscape Medical News that bodycams can make for a safer ED. “The body-worn camera group believed that the cameras would have a positive impact that would make patients and staff feel safer,” said Hill. The idea is that security guards will use force more appropriately because the bodycam provides protection from false accusations.

Appropriate, timely intervention with disruptive or violent patients (or their family members) creates a safer environment for doctors, nurses, and other staff. (While the study found that hospital personnel felt safer with security guards wearing bodycams, physicians and healthcare staff were not surveyed in the study.)

 

Should Doctors Wear Bodycams?

While the idea of ED physicians or nurses wearing bodycams has been suggested, it’s a novel one to Jeffrey Goodloe, MD, an emergency physician in Tulsa, Oklahoma, and member of the American College of Emergency Physicians’ board of directors. “Even with a very vast network of colleagues, both professional and personal friends…I am personally not aware of an ER physician who wears a bodycam,” said Goodloe.

However, there’s no consensus on whether they should, he added. “If you ask 10 emergency room physicians [about wearing bodycams], some will say, ‘That would help’; some would say, ‘from an academic perspective, we don’t have the data,’ some would say, ‘what about privacy concerns?’ You’ll get all those responses,” said Goodloe.

“If a doctor is wearing a bodycam, one of the risks is that patients may not want to be upfront because they see a camera and they see it’s being recorded,” said Edward Wright, MD, a board-certified emergency medicine physician who owns freestanding emergency rooms (ERs) in San Antonio. “It could cause a lot of damage to the relationship between the patient and the physician.”

 

Other Potential Drawbacks of Bodycams

When it comes to patient care, “the presence of a body camera [on a security guard] in and of itself is not intrusive or detrimental to the professional actions of an emergency physician,” said Goodloe, who often sees police officers and security guards with bodycams in the ED. “However, when we are in the process of treating patients, there is a certain amount of privacy that patients and their families and loved ones have a reasonable right to expect in an ED.”

Wright has seen police officers wearing body cameras as well as patients using their phones to record in the ED. “That happens a lot…in Texas, anyone in a public place can record audio and video,” said Wright. “I would say the concern with anyone recording things is patient’s privacy and HIPPA concerns.” While some areas, like the waiting room and hallways, are considered public, the patient care areas are typically private — and a bodycam could violate that privacy.

“The biggest concern we have with bodycams is the unintended violation of someone else’s privacy,” said Goodloe. In an ER setting, he explains that it’s difficult for someone wearing a bodycam to prevent unintentionally recording multiple other patients in the footage. “How do we provide care and protect patient privacy?”

And while a camera makes a record, it may not always be an accurate reflection of what happened. “You might have a video record of what I said and what the patient said, but the camera doesn’t tell the whole story,” said Wright. “There are nuances, and there may be family members who are not on camera…you have to consider that something may be missing.”

Most EDs have wall-mounted security cameras; a 2023 study found that 94.7% had security cameras in key locations. Signage alerting patients of cameras is also common; more than half of EDs have signage warning patients and visitors that they are being recorded, so there may be little expectation of privacy in public areas. But unfortunately, sometimes, patients must be triaged, and treated, in the hallways of busy EDs, where they are subject to being recorded either on stationary or body-worn cameras.

 

Keeping the ED Safe

Putting aside privacy concerns, security measures meant to protect staff and patients can only do so much. “Some security measures are more of a feel-good measure,” said Wright. “We have automatic door locks for our doors, but the whole side of the building is glass…my personal feeling is that cameras can be a deterrent, but if someone has an intention to hurt someone else or is psychotic, you aren’t going to be able to stop them from what they’re going to do.”

Regardless, we’re likely to see more security measures like body-worn cameras in the ED. “Workplace safety is very much on the minds of ER physicians and ER nurses,” said Goodloe. “EDs have become sites of workplace violence with unacceptable increasing frequency…how do we solve this, [while] simultaneously not discouraging or preventing access to emergency care when and where people need it most?”

“We truly care about patient safety and our colleagues’ safety, and we want to be able to come in and make a positive difference,” said Goodloe. But ultimately, doctors want to go home safely to their families, and they want their patients to be able to do that, too.

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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Residency to Reality: The Job Outlook for New Docs

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Roshan Bransden didn’t count how many job offers she received during her recently completed training in family medicine. “It was pretty nonstop throughout all of my PGY-3 year,” she said.

Most of the job opportunities were different from the type of position she sought or where she wanted to work. Bransden graduated from residency at Montefiore Hospital in New York and accepted a position as a primary care doctor in Miami, close to where she grew up and where her family lives.

If the number of recruiting offers residents received last year is any indication, newly trained physicians will have no trouble finding work. More than half (56%) of all residents in AMN Healthcare’s 2023 Survey of Final-Year Medical Residents received 100 or more job solicitations during their training, the highest figure since the survey began more than 30 years ago, the staffing agency reported.

Employers are recruiting residents earlier, offering residency stipends of $1500 to $2500 up to 18 months before they finish their training if they commit to an employment contract, said Leah Grant, president of AMN Healthcare’s Physician Permanent Solutions division, specializing in doctor recruitment. She said that the company’s clients are already eyeing residents completing their training in 2026.

“The key for residents is not about finding a position but choosing the right one out of many.” Grant added that residents typically aren’t taught negotiation skills or how to evaluate job offers. They tend to choose a position based on location, but they should also consider work–life balance issues such as call schedules and whether incentives such as signing bonuses, relocation allowances, and student loan reimbursement offset the job’s time commitment.

“If you are a physician and you are willing to go anywhere, you will have hundreds of opportunities,” said Tibor Nagy, DO, an emergency medicine fellow who recently searched for jobs. “It depends on what they want out of their careers.”

 

Location Is a Key Consideration

Nagy said he had fewer options because he was limited by location, staying close to where his wife is finishing her internal medicine residency. He is completing his fellowship at Atrium Health Carolinas Medical Center in Charlotte, North Carolina, and preparing to return to Prisma Health in Greenville, South Carolina, where he did his residency.

He said that the job search was easier than he anticipated considering the tight market following a job report from the American College of Emergency Physicians in 2021 that predicted an oversupply of 8000 emergency medicine physicians by 2030.

Halfway through Nagy’s residency, he sought a fellowship in emergency medical services (EMS) to be more competitive in the job market. After that, “Every door I knocked on was open to hiring. Maybe it’s a regional thing. They were happy to interview me.” 

In addition to location, Nagy’s top priorities when choosing a job were stability and being able to use his EMS fellowship to become a medical director of an EMS system, agency, or fire department. He wanted to work for a hospital system with an academic focus without much employee turnover.

 

Salary vs Benefits 

AMN Healthcare received the most physician searches for family medicine doctors, followed by OB/GYNs. The staffing agency reported that close to two thirds (63%) of its search engagements during the 2023-2024 review period were for specialists, reflecting the needs of an aging population.

The highest average starting salaries were for surgical and internal medicine subspecialties, according to AMN Healthcare’s 2024 Physician and Advanced Practitioner Recruiting Incentives. Orthopedic surgery averaged $633,000; urology, $540,000; gastroenterology, $506,000; and pulmonary medicine, $418,000. For comparison, the average starting salaries for primary care doctors were family medicine, $255,000; internal medicine, $255,000; and pediatrics, $233,000.

In addition to starting salaries, many physicians receive signing bonuses, relocation allowances, and continuing medical education (CME) allowances. According to the report, the average signing bonus for physicians was $31,473. The average relocation allowance for physicians was $11,284 and the average CME allowance was $3969.

Salary wasn’t Nagy’s top priority when choosing a job, though he admits that the ability to pay back thousands of dollars in medical school loans will be helpful. Instead of focusing on higher pay to offset student loans, Nagy said he sought nonprofit positions to help him qualify for public service loan forgiveness.

The federal program forgives loan balances after the recipient makes monthly payments for 10 years while working for a government or nonprofit organization. He also racked up 3 years of residency and his fellowship year at nonprofit hospitals toward that commitment.

He said jobs that pay more may require doctors to see more patients. “The hustle may be different. There are definitely tradeoffs,” he said.

Bransden said the position she begins in January will allow her to work part-time with full benefits, among other perks. “My employer is a membership-based practice, so I’ll be able to gift a few memberships to family and friends.” 

 

Going Solo

Mohammad Ibrahim, DO, is among a minority of new physicians who have chosen to set up their own practice.

Only 6% of residents in AMN Healthcare’s 2024 report indicated that a solo practice was among their top two choices, while 20% listed partnering with another physician.

Ibrahim is a sports medicine fellow at the University of Michigan Health-West in Wyoming, after finishing his family medicine residency at Trinity Health Livingston Hospital in Howell, Michigan.

After his fellowship ends, he said he plans to stay in Michigan, where his family lives.

Ibrahim said he began his medical education knowing he wanted to become a solo clinician in private practice. He sees it as a way to have more control over his decisions about patient care and business practices.

Working in a hospital often requires doctors to gain approval from several levels of authority for decisions such as ordering new equipment or forgiving part of a service payment. He also wanted to set his schedule to take Friday afternoons off for Muslim prayer.

Although he realizes the challenges of starting a private practice, Ibrahim said those who go through graduate medical education can figure out how to adapt and overcome any obstacles. “I think it’s more doable than we are led to believe.” 

He said that if more residents were exposed to private practice, they might pursue that path. During his training, Ibrahim did a rotation with a private practice physician. “It’s nice to see people proud of what they built, what they contributed.”

Most residents don’t choose private practice. In the AMN Healthcare survey, 68% of residents said that employment by a hospital was among their top two choices for a practice setting, 42% said employment by a single-specialty group, and 32%, employment by a multispecialty group.

Of the majority of job searches AMN Healthcare conducted, 28% were to fill positions in hospital settings, followed by 26% for medical groups, 22% for academic medical centers, 13% for urgent care centers and retail clinics, 6% for solo practices, partnerships, or concierge practice settings, and 5% for Federally Qualified Health Centers/Community Health Centers or Indian Health facilities.

Still, the report noted an increase in recruiting for independent medical practice ownership, which dwindled in recent years, with the majority of doctors today employed likely due to financial obstacles of starting a practice.

The increase in recruiting indicates possible renewed interest in these practice settings, particularly concierge medicine, which allows doctors to avoid the challenges of third-party payments, the report stated.

Grant said that despite the flexibility and financial autonomy of starting their own practice, new providers who choose this path face obstacles, such as competing with urgent care centers and retail health clinics, which have been on the rise in the past year.

Saddled with debt from medical training, most graduating residents will choose to work toward financial stability and then consider their own practice later in their career, she said.

 

Flexible Schedules

Work schedule/call hours or work-life balance was the biggest factor (36%) guiding residents’ choice of first post-residency positions compared with starting salary (19%), according to the Medscape Resident Salary & Debt Report 2024.

Grant said that larger practices and those closer to rural communities tend to offer more innovative work schedules, especially for certain specialists. Some solo practices that form partnerships could potentially allow flexible schedules such as 4-day work weeks or week-on-week-off arrangements, she added.

Physicians are also opting for the flexibility of temporary, locum tenens work to improve job conditions and address feelings of burnout. Dr. Kaydo, DO, as she’s known on Instagram, posts about her experiences as locum tenens. “I found that I could have more flexibility as a locum. I want to be able to take time off when I want and as long as I wanted,” said the full-time family medicine doctor who practices at an outpatient clinic in Philadelphia.

“Basically, I’m contract-working, and they pay me as much as I work, and I can also take more time off.” Her employer for the past year also allowed her to work 10 hours a day, 4 days a week instead of the more traditional 8-hour, 5-day schedule.

Dr. Kaydo said she believes many young doctors think contract employees don’t have a permanent job, are not guaranteed a certain salary, and could easily lose their jobs. “I’ve found that most places really need doctors and are willing to negotiate.”

She said primary care locum doctors are particularly in demand in rural clinics and urban underserved areas.

Nagy said he is considering being a nocturnist, an emergency medicine doctor who works nights, to have more control over his schedule, higher pay, and more flexible shifts. “I switch days and nights and that can be tiring.” 

Bransden said job flexibility was her primary job criterion. “I have a young child, so I wanted to work part-time with the potential for even more flexibility down the line. I am working 3 days a week, 8-hour days with a 1-hour break. A 3-day work week came with a pay cut, but for me, it works and is what I need right now.”

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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Roshan Bransden didn’t count how many job offers she received during her recently completed training in family medicine. “It was pretty nonstop throughout all of my PGY-3 year,” she said.

Most of the job opportunities were different from the type of position she sought or where she wanted to work. Bransden graduated from residency at Montefiore Hospital in New York and accepted a position as a primary care doctor in Miami, close to where she grew up and where her family lives.

If the number of recruiting offers residents received last year is any indication, newly trained physicians will have no trouble finding work. More than half (56%) of all residents in AMN Healthcare’s 2023 Survey of Final-Year Medical Residents received 100 or more job solicitations during their training, the highest figure since the survey began more than 30 years ago, the staffing agency reported.

Employers are recruiting residents earlier, offering residency stipends of $1500 to $2500 up to 18 months before they finish their training if they commit to an employment contract, said Leah Grant, president of AMN Healthcare’s Physician Permanent Solutions division, specializing in doctor recruitment. She said that the company’s clients are already eyeing residents completing their training in 2026.

“The key for residents is not about finding a position but choosing the right one out of many.” Grant added that residents typically aren’t taught negotiation skills or how to evaluate job offers. They tend to choose a position based on location, but they should also consider work–life balance issues such as call schedules and whether incentives such as signing bonuses, relocation allowances, and student loan reimbursement offset the job’s time commitment.

“If you are a physician and you are willing to go anywhere, you will have hundreds of opportunities,” said Tibor Nagy, DO, an emergency medicine fellow who recently searched for jobs. “It depends on what they want out of their careers.”

 

Location Is a Key Consideration

Nagy said he had fewer options because he was limited by location, staying close to where his wife is finishing her internal medicine residency. He is completing his fellowship at Atrium Health Carolinas Medical Center in Charlotte, North Carolina, and preparing to return to Prisma Health in Greenville, South Carolina, where he did his residency.

He said that the job search was easier than he anticipated considering the tight market following a job report from the American College of Emergency Physicians in 2021 that predicted an oversupply of 8000 emergency medicine physicians by 2030.

Halfway through Nagy’s residency, he sought a fellowship in emergency medical services (EMS) to be more competitive in the job market. After that, “Every door I knocked on was open to hiring. Maybe it’s a regional thing. They were happy to interview me.” 

In addition to location, Nagy’s top priorities when choosing a job were stability and being able to use his EMS fellowship to become a medical director of an EMS system, agency, or fire department. He wanted to work for a hospital system with an academic focus without much employee turnover.

 

Salary vs Benefits 

AMN Healthcare received the most physician searches for family medicine doctors, followed by OB/GYNs. The staffing agency reported that close to two thirds (63%) of its search engagements during the 2023-2024 review period were for specialists, reflecting the needs of an aging population.

The highest average starting salaries were for surgical and internal medicine subspecialties, according to AMN Healthcare’s 2024 Physician and Advanced Practitioner Recruiting Incentives. Orthopedic surgery averaged $633,000; urology, $540,000; gastroenterology, $506,000; and pulmonary medicine, $418,000. For comparison, the average starting salaries for primary care doctors were family medicine, $255,000; internal medicine, $255,000; and pediatrics, $233,000.

In addition to starting salaries, many physicians receive signing bonuses, relocation allowances, and continuing medical education (CME) allowances. According to the report, the average signing bonus for physicians was $31,473. The average relocation allowance for physicians was $11,284 and the average CME allowance was $3969.

Salary wasn’t Nagy’s top priority when choosing a job, though he admits that the ability to pay back thousands of dollars in medical school loans will be helpful. Instead of focusing on higher pay to offset student loans, Nagy said he sought nonprofit positions to help him qualify for public service loan forgiveness.

The federal program forgives loan balances after the recipient makes monthly payments for 10 years while working for a government or nonprofit organization. He also racked up 3 years of residency and his fellowship year at nonprofit hospitals toward that commitment.

He said jobs that pay more may require doctors to see more patients. “The hustle may be different. There are definitely tradeoffs,” he said.

Bransden said the position she begins in January will allow her to work part-time with full benefits, among other perks. “My employer is a membership-based practice, so I’ll be able to gift a few memberships to family and friends.” 

 

Going Solo

Mohammad Ibrahim, DO, is among a minority of new physicians who have chosen to set up their own practice.

Only 6% of residents in AMN Healthcare’s 2024 report indicated that a solo practice was among their top two choices, while 20% listed partnering with another physician.

Ibrahim is a sports medicine fellow at the University of Michigan Health-West in Wyoming, after finishing his family medicine residency at Trinity Health Livingston Hospital in Howell, Michigan.

After his fellowship ends, he said he plans to stay in Michigan, where his family lives.

Ibrahim said he began his medical education knowing he wanted to become a solo clinician in private practice. He sees it as a way to have more control over his decisions about patient care and business practices.

Working in a hospital often requires doctors to gain approval from several levels of authority for decisions such as ordering new equipment or forgiving part of a service payment. He also wanted to set his schedule to take Friday afternoons off for Muslim prayer.

Although he realizes the challenges of starting a private practice, Ibrahim said those who go through graduate medical education can figure out how to adapt and overcome any obstacles. “I think it’s more doable than we are led to believe.” 

He said that if more residents were exposed to private practice, they might pursue that path. During his training, Ibrahim did a rotation with a private practice physician. “It’s nice to see people proud of what they built, what they contributed.”

Most residents don’t choose private practice. In the AMN Healthcare survey, 68% of residents said that employment by a hospital was among their top two choices for a practice setting, 42% said employment by a single-specialty group, and 32%, employment by a multispecialty group.

Of the majority of job searches AMN Healthcare conducted, 28% were to fill positions in hospital settings, followed by 26% for medical groups, 22% for academic medical centers, 13% for urgent care centers and retail clinics, 6% for solo practices, partnerships, or concierge practice settings, and 5% for Federally Qualified Health Centers/Community Health Centers or Indian Health facilities.

Still, the report noted an increase in recruiting for independent medical practice ownership, which dwindled in recent years, with the majority of doctors today employed likely due to financial obstacles of starting a practice.

The increase in recruiting indicates possible renewed interest in these practice settings, particularly concierge medicine, which allows doctors to avoid the challenges of third-party payments, the report stated.

Grant said that despite the flexibility and financial autonomy of starting their own practice, new providers who choose this path face obstacles, such as competing with urgent care centers and retail health clinics, which have been on the rise in the past year.

Saddled with debt from medical training, most graduating residents will choose to work toward financial stability and then consider their own practice later in their career, she said.

 

Flexible Schedules

Work schedule/call hours or work-life balance was the biggest factor (36%) guiding residents’ choice of first post-residency positions compared with starting salary (19%), according to the Medscape Resident Salary & Debt Report 2024.

Grant said that larger practices and those closer to rural communities tend to offer more innovative work schedules, especially for certain specialists. Some solo practices that form partnerships could potentially allow flexible schedules such as 4-day work weeks or week-on-week-off arrangements, she added.

Physicians are also opting for the flexibility of temporary, locum tenens work to improve job conditions and address feelings of burnout. Dr. Kaydo, DO, as she’s known on Instagram, posts about her experiences as locum tenens. “I found that I could have more flexibility as a locum. I want to be able to take time off when I want and as long as I wanted,” said the full-time family medicine doctor who practices at an outpatient clinic in Philadelphia.

“Basically, I’m contract-working, and they pay me as much as I work, and I can also take more time off.” Her employer for the past year also allowed her to work 10 hours a day, 4 days a week instead of the more traditional 8-hour, 5-day schedule.

Dr. Kaydo said she believes many young doctors think contract employees don’t have a permanent job, are not guaranteed a certain salary, and could easily lose their jobs. “I’ve found that most places really need doctors and are willing to negotiate.”

She said primary care locum doctors are particularly in demand in rural clinics and urban underserved areas.

Nagy said he is considering being a nocturnist, an emergency medicine doctor who works nights, to have more control over his schedule, higher pay, and more flexible shifts. “I switch days and nights and that can be tiring.” 

Bransden said job flexibility was her primary job criterion. “I have a young child, so I wanted to work part-time with the potential for even more flexibility down the line. I am working 3 days a week, 8-hour days with a 1-hour break. A 3-day work week came with a pay cut, but for me, it works and is what I need right now.”

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

Roshan Bransden didn’t count how many job offers she received during her recently completed training in family medicine. “It was pretty nonstop throughout all of my PGY-3 year,” she said.

Most of the job opportunities were different from the type of position she sought or where she wanted to work. Bransden graduated from residency at Montefiore Hospital in New York and accepted a position as a primary care doctor in Miami, close to where she grew up and where her family lives.

If the number of recruiting offers residents received last year is any indication, newly trained physicians will have no trouble finding work. More than half (56%) of all residents in AMN Healthcare’s 2023 Survey of Final-Year Medical Residents received 100 or more job solicitations during their training, the highest figure since the survey began more than 30 years ago, the staffing agency reported.

Employers are recruiting residents earlier, offering residency stipends of $1500 to $2500 up to 18 months before they finish their training if they commit to an employment contract, said Leah Grant, president of AMN Healthcare’s Physician Permanent Solutions division, specializing in doctor recruitment. She said that the company’s clients are already eyeing residents completing their training in 2026.

“The key for residents is not about finding a position but choosing the right one out of many.” Grant added that residents typically aren’t taught negotiation skills or how to evaluate job offers. They tend to choose a position based on location, but they should also consider work–life balance issues such as call schedules and whether incentives such as signing bonuses, relocation allowances, and student loan reimbursement offset the job’s time commitment.

“If you are a physician and you are willing to go anywhere, you will have hundreds of opportunities,” said Tibor Nagy, DO, an emergency medicine fellow who recently searched for jobs. “It depends on what they want out of their careers.”

 

Location Is a Key Consideration

Nagy said he had fewer options because he was limited by location, staying close to where his wife is finishing her internal medicine residency. He is completing his fellowship at Atrium Health Carolinas Medical Center in Charlotte, North Carolina, and preparing to return to Prisma Health in Greenville, South Carolina, where he did his residency.

He said that the job search was easier than he anticipated considering the tight market following a job report from the American College of Emergency Physicians in 2021 that predicted an oversupply of 8000 emergency medicine physicians by 2030.

Halfway through Nagy’s residency, he sought a fellowship in emergency medical services (EMS) to be more competitive in the job market. After that, “Every door I knocked on was open to hiring. Maybe it’s a regional thing. They were happy to interview me.” 

In addition to location, Nagy’s top priorities when choosing a job were stability and being able to use his EMS fellowship to become a medical director of an EMS system, agency, or fire department. He wanted to work for a hospital system with an academic focus without much employee turnover.

 

Salary vs Benefits 

AMN Healthcare received the most physician searches for family medicine doctors, followed by OB/GYNs. The staffing agency reported that close to two thirds (63%) of its search engagements during the 2023-2024 review period were for specialists, reflecting the needs of an aging population.

The highest average starting salaries were for surgical and internal medicine subspecialties, according to AMN Healthcare’s 2024 Physician and Advanced Practitioner Recruiting Incentives. Orthopedic surgery averaged $633,000; urology, $540,000; gastroenterology, $506,000; and pulmonary medicine, $418,000. For comparison, the average starting salaries for primary care doctors were family medicine, $255,000; internal medicine, $255,000; and pediatrics, $233,000.

In addition to starting salaries, many physicians receive signing bonuses, relocation allowances, and continuing medical education (CME) allowances. According to the report, the average signing bonus for physicians was $31,473. The average relocation allowance for physicians was $11,284 and the average CME allowance was $3969.

Salary wasn’t Nagy’s top priority when choosing a job, though he admits that the ability to pay back thousands of dollars in medical school loans will be helpful. Instead of focusing on higher pay to offset student loans, Nagy said he sought nonprofit positions to help him qualify for public service loan forgiveness.

The federal program forgives loan balances after the recipient makes monthly payments for 10 years while working for a government or nonprofit organization. He also racked up 3 years of residency and his fellowship year at nonprofit hospitals toward that commitment.

He said jobs that pay more may require doctors to see more patients. “The hustle may be different. There are definitely tradeoffs,” he said.

Bransden said the position she begins in January will allow her to work part-time with full benefits, among other perks. “My employer is a membership-based practice, so I’ll be able to gift a few memberships to family and friends.” 

 

Going Solo

Mohammad Ibrahim, DO, is among a minority of new physicians who have chosen to set up their own practice.

Only 6% of residents in AMN Healthcare’s 2024 report indicated that a solo practice was among their top two choices, while 20% listed partnering with another physician.

Ibrahim is a sports medicine fellow at the University of Michigan Health-West in Wyoming, after finishing his family medicine residency at Trinity Health Livingston Hospital in Howell, Michigan.

After his fellowship ends, he said he plans to stay in Michigan, where his family lives.

Ibrahim said he began his medical education knowing he wanted to become a solo clinician in private practice. He sees it as a way to have more control over his decisions about patient care and business practices.

Working in a hospital often requires doctors to gain approval from several levels of authority for decisions such as ordering new equipment or forgiving part of a service payment. He also wanted to set his schedule to take Friday afternoons off for Muslim prayer.

Although he realizes the challenges of starting a private practice, Ibrahim said those who go through graduate medical education can figure out how to adapt and overcome any obstacles. “I think it’s more doable than we are led to believe.” 

He said that if more residents were exposed to private practice, they might pursue that path. During his training, Ibrahim did a rotation with a private practice physician. “It’s nice to see people proud of what they built, what they contributed.”

Most residents don’t choose private practice. In the AMN Healthcare survey, 68% of residents said that employment by a hospital was among their top two choices for a practice setting, 42% said employment by a single-specialty group, and 32%, employment by a multispecialty group.

Of the majority of job searches AMN Healthcare conducted, 28% were to fill positions in hospital settings, followed by 26% for medical groups, 22% for academic medical centers, 13% for urgent care centers and retail clinics, 6% for solo practices, partnerships, or concierge practice settings, and 5% for Federally Qualified Health Centers/Community Health Centers or Indian Health facilities.

Still, the report noted an increase in recruiting for independent medical practice ownership, which dwindled in recent years, with the majority of doctors today employed likely due to financial obstacles of starting a practice.

The increase in recruiting indicates possible renewed interest in these practice settings, particularly concierge medicine, which allows doctors to avoid the challenges of third-party payments, the report stated.

Grant said that despite the flexibility and financial autonomy of starting their own practice, new providers who choose this path face obstacles, such as competing with urgent care centers and retail health clinics, which have been on the rise in the past year.

Saddled with debt from medical training, most graduating residents will choose to work toward financial stability and then consider their own practice later in their career, she said.

 

Flexible Schedules

Work schedule/call hours or work-life balance was the biggest factor (36%) guiding residents’ choice of first post-residency positions compared with starting salary (19%), according to the Medscape Resident Salary & Debt Report 2024.

Grant said that larger practices and those closer to rural communities tend to offer more innovative work schedules, especially for certain specialists. Some solo practices that form partnerships could potentially allow flexible schedules such as 4-day work weeks or week-on-week-off arrangements, she added.

Physicians are also opting for the flexibility of temporary, locum tenens work to improve job conditions and address feelings of burnout. Dr. Kaydo, DO, as she’s known on Instagram, posts about her experiences as locum tenens. “I found that I could have more flexibility as a locum. I want to be able to take time off when I want and as long as I wanted,” said the full-time family medicine doctor who practices at an outpatient clinic in Philadelphia.

“Basically, I’m contract-working, and they pay me as much as I work, and I can also take more time off.” Her employer for the past year also allowed her to work 10 hours a day, 4 days a week instead of the more traditional 8-hour, 5-day schedule.

Dr. Kaydo said she believes many young doctors think contract employees don’t have a permanent job, are not guaranteed a certain salary, and could easily lose their jobs. “I’ve found that most places really need doctors and are willing to negotiate.”

She said primary care locum doctors are particularly in demand in rural clinics and urban underserved areas.

Nagy said he is considering being a nocturnist, an emergency medicine doctor who works nights, to have more control over his schedule, higher pay, and more flexible shifts. “I switch days and nights and that can be tiring.” 

Bransden said job flexibility was her primary job criterion. “I have a young child, so I wanted to work part-time with the potential for even more flexibility down the line. I am working 3 days a week, 8-hour days with a 1-hour break. A 3-day work week came with a pay cut, but for me, it works and is what I need right now.”

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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New Cancer Drugs: Do Patients Prefer Faster Access or Clinical Benefit?

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When the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants cancer drugs accelerated approval, a key aim is to provide patients faster access to therapies that can benefit them. 

The downside of a speedier approval timeline, however, is that it’s often not yet clear whether the new drugs will actually allow a patient to live longer or better. Information on overall survival and quality of life typically comes years later, after drugs undergo confirmatory trials, or sometimes not at all, if companies fail to conduct these trials. 

During this waiting period, patients may be receiving a cancer drug that provides no real clinical benefit but comes with a host of toxicities. 

In fact, the odds are about as good as a coin flip. For cancer drugs that have confirmatory trial data, more than half don’t ultimately provide an overall survival or quality of life benefit.

Inherent to the accelerated approval process is the assumption that patients are willing to accept this uncertainty in exchange for faster access.

But is that really the case? 

A recent survey published in The Lancet Oncology aimed to tease out people’s preferences for confirmed clinical benefit vs speedier access. The researchers asked about 870 adults with experience of cancer challenges — either their own cancer diagnosis or that of family or a close friend — whether they valued faster access or certainty that a drug really works. 

In the study, participants imagined they had been diagnosed with cancer and could choose between two cancer drugs under investigation in clinical trials but with uncertain effectiveness, and a current standard treatment. Participants had to make a series of choices based on five scenarios. 

The first two scenarios were based on the impact of the current standard treatment: A patient’s life expectancy on the standard treatment (6 months up to 3 years), and a patient’s physical health on the standard treatment (functional status restricted only during strenuous activities up to completely disabled).

The remaining three scenarios dealt with the two new drugs: The effect of the new drugs on a surrogate endpoint, progression-free survival (whether the drugs slowed tumor growth for an extra month or 5 additional months compared with the standard treatment), certainty that slowing tumor growth will improve survival (very low to high), and the wait time to access the drugs (immediately to as long as 2 years).

The researchers assessed the relative importance of survival benefit certainty vs wait time and how that balance shifted depending on the different scenarios. 

Overall, the researchers found that, if there was no evidence linking the surrogate endpoint (progression-free survival) to overall survival, patients were willing to wait about 8 months for weak evidence of an overall survival benefit (ie, low certainty the drug will extend survival by 1-5 months), about 16 months for moderate certainty, and almost 22 months for high certainty. 

Despite a willingness to wait for greater certainty, participants did value speed as well. Overall, respondents showed a strong preference against a 1-year delay in FDA approval time. People who were aged 55 years or more and were non-White individuals made less than $40,000 year as well as those with the lowest life expectancy on a current standard treatment were most sensitive to wait times while those with better functional status and longer life expectancies on a current treatment were less sensitive to longer wait times.

“Our results indicate that some patients (except those with the poorest prognoses) would find the additional time required to generate evidence on the survival benefit of new cancer drugs an acceptable tradeoff,” the study authors concluded.

Although people do place high value on timely access to new cancer drugs, especially if there are limited treatment options, many are willing to wait for greater certainty that a new drug provides an overall survival benefit, lead author Robin Forrest, MSc, with the Department of Health Policy, London School of Economics in England, said in an interview. 

In the study, respondents also did not place significant value on whether the drug substantially slowed cancer growth. “In other words, substantial progression-free survival benefit of a drug did not compensate for lack of certainty about a drug’s benefit on survival in respondents’ drug choices,” the authors explained.

“In an effort to move quickly, we have accepted progression-free survival [as a surrogate endpoint],” Jyoti D. Patel, MD, oncologist with Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Chicago, Illinois, who wasn’t involved in the study. But a growing body of evidence indicates that progression-free survival is often a poor surrogate for overall survival. And what this study suggests is that “patients uniformly care about improvements in overall survival and the quality of that survival,” Patel said.

Bishal Gyawali, MD, PhD, was not surprised by the findings. 

“I always thought this was the real-world scenario, but the problem is the voices of ordinary patients are not heard,” Gyawali, with Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada, who also wasn’t involved in the study, said in an interview. 

“What is heard is the loud noise of ‘we need access now, today, yesterday’ — ‘we don’t care if the drug doesn’t improve overall survival, we just need a drug, any drug’ — ‘we don’t care how much it costs, we need access today,’ ” Gyawali said. “Not saying this is wrong, but this is not the representation of all patients.”

However, the voices of patients who are more cautious and want evidence of benefit before accepting toxicities don’t make headlines, he added. 

What this survey means from a policy perspective, said Gyawali, is that accelerated approvals that do not mandate survival endpoint in confirmatory trials are ignoring the need of many patients who prioritize certainty of benefit over speed of access.

The study was funded by the London School of Economics and Political Science Phelan United States Centre. Forrest had no relevant disclosures. Gyawali has received consulting fees from Vivio Health. Patel has various relationships with AbbVie, Anheart, AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Guardant, Tempus, Sanofi, BluePrint, Takeda, and Gilead.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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When the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants cancer drugs accelerated approval, a key aim is to provide patients faster access to therapies that can benefit them. 

The downside of a speedier approval timeline, however, is that it’s often not yet clear whether the new drugs will actually allow a patient to live longer or better. Information on overall survival and quality of life typically comes years later, after drugs undergo confirmatory trials, or sometimes not at all, if companies fail to conduct these trials. 

During this waiting period, patients may be receiving a cancer drug that provides no real clinical benefit but comes with a host of toxicities. 

In fact, the odds are about as good as a coin flip. For cancer drugs that have confirmatory trial data, more than half don’t ultimately provide an overall survival or quality of life benefit.

Inherent to the accelerated approval process is the assumption that patients are willing to accept this uncertainty in exchange for faster access.

But is that really the case? 

A recent survey published in The Lancet Oncology aimed to tease out people’s preferences for confirmed clinical benefit vs speedier access. The researchers asked about 870 adults with experience of cancer challenges — either their own cancer diagnosis or that of family or a close friend — whether they valued faster access or certainty that a drug really works. 

In the study, participants imagined they had been diagnosed with cancer and could choose between two cancer drugs under investigation in clinical trials but with uncertain effectiveness, and a current standard treatment. Participants had to make a series of choices based on five scenarios. 

The first two scenarios were based on the impact of the current standard treatment: A patient’s life expectancy on the standard treatment (6 months up to 3 years), and a patient’s physical health on the standard treatment (functional status restricted only during strenuous activities up to completely disabled).

The remaining three scenarios dealt with the two new drugs: The effect of the new drugs on a surrogate endpoint, progression-free survival (whether the drugs slowed tumor growth for an extra month or 5 additional months compared with the standard treatment), certainty that slowing tumor growth will improve survival (very low to high), and the wait time to access the drugs (immediately to as long as 2 years).

The researchers assessed the relative importance of survival benefit certainty vs wait time and how that balance shifted depending on the different scenarios. 

Overall, the researchers found that, if there was no evidence linking the surrogate endpoint (progression-free survival) to overall survival, patients were willing to wait about 8 months for weak evidence of an overall survival benefit (ie, low certainty the drug will extend survival by 1-5 months), about 16 months for moderate certainty, and almost 22 months for high certainty. 

Despite a willingness to wait for greater certainty, participants did value speed as well. Overall, respondents showed a strong preference against a 1-year delay in FDA approval time. People who were aged 55 years or more and were non-White individuals made less than $40,000 year as well as those with the lowest life expectancy on a current standard treatment were most sensitive to wait times while those with better functional status and longer life expectancies on a current treatment were less sensitive to longer wait times.

“Our results indicate that some patients (except those with the poorest prognoses) would find the additional time required to generate evidence on the survival benefit of new cancer drugs an acceptable tradeoff,” the study authors concluded.

Although people do place high value on timely access to new cancer drugs, especially if there are limited treatment options, many are willing to wait for greater certainty that a new drug provides an overall survival benefit, lead author Robin Forrest, MSc, with the Department of Health Policy, London School of Economics in England, said in an interview. 

In the study, respondents also did not place significant value on whether the drug substantially slowed cancer growth. “In other words, substantial progression-free survival benefit of a drug did not compensate for lack of certainty about a drug’s benefit on survival in respondents’ drug choices,” the authors explained.

“In an effort to move quickly, we have accepted progression-free survival [as a surrogate endpoint],” Jyoti D. Patel, MD, oncologist with Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Chicago, Illinois, who wasn’t involved in the study. But a growing body of evidence indicates that progression-free survival is often a poor surrogate for overall survival. And what this study suggests is that “patients uniformly care about improvements in overall survival and the quality of that survival,” Patel said.

Bishal Gyawali, MD, PhD, was not surprised by the findings. 

“I always thought this was the real-world scenario, but the problem is the voices of ordinary patients are not heard,” Gyawali, with Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada, who also wasn’t involved in the study, said in an interview. 

“What is heard is the loud noise of ‘we need access now, today, yesterday’ — ‘we don’t care if the drug doesn’t improve overall survival, we just need a drug, any drug’ — ‘we don’t care how much it costs, we need access today,’ ” Gyawali said. “Not saying this is wrong, but this is not the representation of all patients.”

However, the voices of patients who are more cautious and want evidence of benefit before accepting toxicities don’t make headlines, he added. 

What this survey means from a policy perspective, said Gyawali, is that accelerated approvals that do not mandate survival endpoint in confirmatory trials are ignoring the need of many patients who prioritize certainty of benefit over speed of access.

The study was funded by the London School of Economics and Political Science Phelan United States Centre. Forrest had no relevant disclosures. Gyawali has received consulting fees from Vivio Health. Patel has various relationships with AbbVie, Anheart, AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Guardant, Tempus, Sanofi, BluePrint, Takeda, and Gilead.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

When the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants cancer drugs accelerated approval, a key aim is to provide patients faster access to therapies that can benefit them. 

The downside of a speedier approval timeline, however, is that it’s often not yet clear whether the new drugs will actually allow a patient to live longer or better. Information on overall survival and quality of life typically comes years later, after drugs undergo confirmatory trials, or sometimes not at all, if companies fail to conduct these trials. 

During this waiting period, patients may be receiving a cancer drug that provides no real clinical benefit but comes with a host of toxicities. 

In fact, the odds are about as good as a coin flip. For cancer drugs that have confirmatory trial data, more than half don’t ultimately provide an overall survival or quality of life benefit.

Inherent to the accelerated approval process is the assumption that patients are willing to accept this uncertainty in exchange for faster access.

But is that really the case? 

A recent survey published in The Lancet Oncology aimed to tease out people’s preferences for confirmed clinical benefit vs speedier access. The researchers asked about 870 adults with experience of cancer challenges — either their own cancer diagnosis or that of family or a close friend — whether they valued faster access or certainty that a drug really works. 

In the study, participants imagined they had been diagnosed with cancer and could choose between two cancer drugs under investigation in clinical trials but with uncertain effectiveness, and a current standard treatment. Participants had to make a series of choices based on five scenarios. 

The first two scenarios were based on the impact of the current standard treatment: A patient’s life expectancy on the standard treatment (6 months up to 3 years), and a patient’s physical health on the standard treatment (functional status restricted only during strenuous activities up to completely disabled).

The remaining three scenarios dealt with the two new drugs: The effect of the new drugs on a surrogate endpoint, progression-free survival (whether the drugs slowed tumor growth for an extra month or 5 additional months compared with the standard treatment), certainty that slowing tumor growth will improve survival (very low to high), and the wait time to access the drugs (immediately to as long as 2 years).

The researchers assessed the relative importance of survival benefit certainty vs wait time and how that balance shifted depending on the different scenarios. 

Overall, the researchers found that, if there was no evidence linking the surrogate endpoint (progression-free survival) to overall survival, patients were willing to wait about 8 months for weak evidence of an overall survival benefit (ie, low certainty the drug will extend survival by 1-5 months), about 16 months for moderate certainty, and almost 22 months for high certainty. 

Despite a willingness to wait for greater certainty, participants did value speed as well. Overall, respondents showed a strong preference against a 1-year delay in FDA approval time. People who were aged 55 years or more and were non-White individuals made less than $40,000 year as well as those with the lowest life expectancy on a current standard treatment were most sensitive to wait times while those with better functional status and longer life expectancies on a current treatment were less sensitive to longer wait times.

“Our results indicate that some patients (except those with the poorest prognoses) would find the additional time required to generate evidence on the survival benefit of new cancer drugs an acceptable tradeoff,” the study authors concluded.

Although people do place high value on timely access to new cancer drugs, especially if there are limited treatment options, many are willing to wait for greater certainty that a new drug provides an overall survival benefit, lead author Robin Forrest, MSc, with the Department of Health Policy, London School of Economics in England, said in an interview. 

In the study, respondents also did not place significant value on whether the drug substantially slowed cancer growth. “In other words, substantial progression-free survival benefit of a drug did not compensate for lack of certainty about a drug’s benefit on survival in respondents’ drug choices,” the authors explained.

“In an effort to move quickly, we have accepted progression-free survival [as a surrogate endpoint],” Jyoti D. Patel, MD, oncologist with Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Chicago, Illinois, who wasn’t involved in the study. But a growing body of evidence indicates that progression-free survival is often a poor surrogate for overall survival. And what this study suggests is that “patients uniformly care about improvements in overall survival and the quality of that survival,” Patel said.

Bishal Gyawali, MD, PhD, was not surprised by the findings. 

“I always thought this was the real-world scenario, but the problem is the voices of ordinary patients are not heard,” Gyawali, with Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada, who also wasn’t involved in the study, said in an interview. 

“What is heard is the loud noise of ‘we need access now, today, yesterday’ — ‘we don’t care if the drug doesn’t improve overall survival, we just need a drug, any drug’ — ‘we don’t care how much it costs, we need access today,’ ” Gyawali said. “Not saying this is wrong, but this is not the representation of all patients.”

However, the voices of patients who are more cautious and want evidence of benefit before accepting toxicities don’t make headlines, he added. 

What this survey means from a policy perspective, said Gyawali, is that accelerated approvals that do not mandate survival endpoint in confirmatory trials are ignoring the need of many patients who prioritize certainty of benefit over speed of access.

The study was funded by the London School of Economics and Political Science Phelan United States Centre. Forrest had no relevant disclosures. Gyawali has received consulting fees from Vivio Health. Patel has various relationships with AbbVie, Anheart, AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Guardant, Tempus, Sanofi, BluePrint, Takeda, and Gilead.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Alcohol: How Much Is Too Much?

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A 40-year-old woman presents for a wellness visit. She says that she feels well but admits to high levels of stress and occasional fatigue. She works about 60 hours per week as an executive in a finance company. In addition, she is married and has two children, ages 12 and 10 years. She says that she has no time for herself and has noticed that she gets frustrated faster than she used to, but she does not think she has depression. Her score on a Patient Health Questionnaire 9 (PHQ-9) is 5, indicating a low level of depression symptoms.

Regarding health habits, she has never used nicotine products. She reports having one to two alcoholic drinks per day, either wine or a cocktail, and has four drinks per day on a couple of weekend days per month (such as on “date night” with her spouse). She says she does not use any other drugs, including cannabis, and is not taking any medications.

Her vital signs and physical examination are unremarkable. You note that she had an evaluation with a complete blood count, comprehensive metabolic panel, and thyroid-stimulating hormone level performed 7 months ago, with normal results.

What would be the best next step in caring for this patient?

A. Ask her to consider talk therapy to address her fatigue and stress

B. Have her complete a tool (such as the AUDIT-C) to identify hazardous drinking

C. Consider prescribing a selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor

D. Repeat her previous labs, adding vitamin B12 and vitamin D levels

Dr. Vega’s Take

Although all of the answer choices above could apply to this patient, a more formal screening for problem drinking is the most important intervention to make now.

This patient’s story is not unique, particularly in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. According to data from the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, 64% and 61% of males and females, respectively, at least 12 years of age, reported consuming alcohol in 2023, and 21.7% of these individuals reported binge drinking. 

Alcohol consumption is taking an increasing toll on public health. Between 2016 and 2021, the number of US deaths caused by excessive alcohol use increased by 29%, to a total of 47.6 cases per 100,000 population. The death rate increased faster among females vs males.

The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommends screening for alcohol misuse among adults at least 18 years of age, with no specific interval for repeat screening. USPSTF does recommend two specific screening instruments because of their ease of use and accuracy: the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test–Consumption (AUDIT-C) and Single Alcohol Screening Question (SASQ): How many times in the past year have you had more than four drinks (for women) or five drinks (for men) in a day? 

The AUDIT-C features three questions about alcohol use, the amount of alcohol consumed, and the frequency of heavy alcohol use. The instrument is scored from 0 to 12, with a higher score indicating a high risk for problem drinking. Generally, an AUDIT-C score is considered a positive screen at a score of 4 for men and 3 for women. The SASQ focuses on the number of heavy drinking days in the past year, with a current cutoff of five drinks for men and four drinks for women and anyone age 65 years or older.

Both the AUDIT-C and SASQ should be followed up with a more extensive history to make the diagnosis of alcohol use disorder (AUD). The USPSTF also recommends at least brief follow-up counseling for adults with possible AUD, noting that the most common form of counseling is personalized normative feedback, which compares a patient’s alcohol use pattern with that of others. 

What is your practice in screening for AUD, and what have you found effective in counseling patients? I look forward to hearing your thoughts.

Dr. Vega is Health Sciences Clinical Professor, Family Medicine, University of California, Irvine. He reported a conflict of interest with McNeil Pharmaceuticals.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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A 40-year-old woman presents for a wellness visit. She says that she feels well but admits to high levels of stress and occasional fatigue. She works about 60 hours per week as an executive in a finance company. In addition, she is married and has two children, ages 12 and 10 years. She says that she has no time for herself and has noticed that she gets frustrated faster than she used to, but she does not think she has depression. Her score on a Patient Health Questionnaire 9 (PHQ-9) is 5, indicating a low level of depression symptoms.

Regarding health habits, she has never used nicotine products. She reports having one to two alcoholic drinks per day, either wine or a cocktail, and has four drinks per day on a couple of weekend days per month (such as on “date night” with her spouse). She says she does not use any other drugs, including cannabis, and is not taking any medications.

Her vital signs and physical examination are unremarkable. You note that she had an evaluation with a complete blood count, comprehensive metabolic panel, and thyroid-stimulating hormone level performed 7 months ago, with normal results.

What would be the best next step in caring for this patient?

A. Ask her to consider talk therapy to address her fatigue and stress

B. Have her complete a tool (such as the AUDIT-C) to identify hazardous drinking

C. Consider prescribing a selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor

D. Repeat her previous labs, adding vitamin B12 and vitamin D levels

Dr. Vega’s Take

Although all of the answer choices above could apply to this patient, a more formal screening for problem drinking is the most important intervention to make now.

This patient’s story is not unique, particularly in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. According to data from the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, 64% and 61% of males and females, respectively, at least 12 years of age, reported consuming alcohol in 2023, and 21.7% of these individuals reported binge drinking. 

Alcohol consumption is taking an increasing toll on public health. Between 2016 and 2021, the number of US deaths caused by excessive alcohol use increased by 29%, to a total of 47.6 cases per 100,000 population. The death rate increased faster among females vs males.

The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommends screening for alcohol misuse among adults at least 18 years of age, with no specific interval for repeat screening. USPSTF does recommend two specific screening instruments because of their ease of use and accuracy: the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test–Consumption (AUDIT-C) and Single Alcohol Screening Question (SASQ): How many times in the past year have you had more than four drinks (for women) or five drinks (for men) in a day? 

The AUDIT-C features three questions about alcohol use, the amount of alcohol consumed, and the frequency of heavy alcohol use. The instrument is scored from 0 to 12, with a higher score indicating a high risk for problem drinking. Generally, an AUDIT-C score is considered a positive screen at a score of 4 for men and 3 for women. The SASQ focuses on the number of heavy drinking days in the past year, with a current cutoff of five drinks for men and four drinks for women and anyone age 65 years or older.

Both the AUDIT-C and SASQ should be followed up with a more extensive history to make the diagnosis of alcohol use disorder (AUD). The USPSTF also recommends at least brief follow-up counseling for adults with possible AUD, noting that the most common form of counseling is personalized normative feedback, which compares a patient’s alcohol use pattern with that of others. 

What is your practice in screening for AUD, and what have you found effective in counseling patients? I look forward to hearing your thoughts.

Dr. Vega is Health Sciences Clinical Professor, Family Medicine, University of California, Irvine. He reported a conflict of interest with McNeil Pharmaceuticals.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

A 40-year-old woman presents for a wellness visit. She says that she feels well but admits to high levels of stress and occasional fatigue. She works about 60 hours per week as an executive in a finance company. In addition, she is married and has two children, ages 12 and 10 years. She says that she has no time for herself and has noticed that she gets frustrated faster than she used to, but she does not think she has depression. Her score on a Patient Health Questionnaire 9 (PHQ-9) is 5, indicating a low level of depression symptoms.

Regarding health habits, she has never used nicotine products. She reports having one to two alcoholic drinks per day, either wine or a cocktail, and has four drinks per day on a couple of weekend days per month (such as on “date night” with her spouse). She says she does not use any other drugs, including cannabis, and is not taking any medications.

Her vital signs and physical examination are unremarkable. You note that she had an evaluation with a complete blood count, comprehensive metabolic panel, and thyroid-stimulating hormone level performed 7 months ago, with normal results.

What would be the best next step in caring for this patient?

A. Ask her to consider talk therapy to address her fatigue and stress

B. Have her complete a tool (such as the AUDIT-C) to identify hazardous drinking

C. Consider prescribing a selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor

D. Repeat her previous labs, adding vitamin B12 and vitamin D levels

Dr. Vega’s Take

Although all of the answer choices above could apply to this patient, a more formal screening for problem drinking is the most important intervention to make now.

This patient’s story is not unique, particularly in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. According to data from the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, 64% and 61% of males and females, respectively, at least 12 years of age, reported consuming alcohol in 2023, and 21.7% of these individuals reported binge drinking. 

Alcohol consumption is taking an increasing toll on public health. Between 2016 and 2021, the number of US deaths caused by excessive alcohol use increased by 29%, to a total of 47.6 cases per 100,000 population. The death rate increased faster among females vs males.

The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommends screening for alcohol misuse among adults at least 18 years of age, with no specific interval for repeat screening. USPSTF does recommend two specific screening instruments because of their ease of use and accuracy: the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test–Consumption (AUDIT-C) and Single Alcohol Screening Question (SASQ): How many times in the past year have you had more than four drinks (for women) or five drinks (for men) in a day? 

The AUDIT-C features three questions about alcohol use, the amount of alcohol consumed, and the frequency of heavy alcohol use. The instrument is scored from 0 to 12, with a higher score indicating a high risk for problem drinking. Generally, an AUDIT-C score is considered a positive screen at a score of 4 for men and 3 for women. The SASQ focuses on the number of heavy drinking days in the past year, with a current cutoff of five drinks for men and four drinks for women and anyone age 65 years or older.

Both the AUDIT-C and SASQ should be followed up with a more extensive history to make the diagnosis of alcohol use disorder (AUD). The USPSTF also recommends at least brief follow-up counseling for adults with possible AUD, noting that the most common form of counseling is personalized normative feedback, which compares a patient’s alcohol use pattern with that of others. 

What is your practice in screening for AUD, and what have you found effective in counseling patients? I look forward to hearing your thoughts.

Dr. Vega is Health Sciences Clinical Professor, Family Medicine, University of California, Irvine. He reported a conflict of interest with McNeil Pharmaceuticals.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Geriatric Dermatology: Q&A With Daniel C. Butler, MD

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Daniel C. Butler, MD, is associate professor of dermatology and director of the new Inflammatory and Aging Skin Research Program in the Division of Dermatology at the University of Arizona College of Medicine, Tucson, Arizona. Before returning to Arizona, where he had attended medical school, Butler practiced and was a researcher at the University of California, San Francisco, and its geriatric dermatology clinic. He is a co-founder and continues to co-lead the American Academy of Dermatology (AAD) Geriatric Dermatology Expert Resource Group (ERG).

Butler’s interest in geriatric dermatology is rooted in his experience growing up with four grandparents and witnessing their wisdom, relationships, moments with loved ones, and other unique and desirable parts of growing old. “When I looked later at how aging was perceived in dermatology, I found it was a lot about ‘antiaging,’” he told this news organization. “I thought there was a needed voice in dermatology for healthy aging, for all the desirable things that only growing old can provide, along with all the incredible ‘antiaging’ things we can do.”

Dr. Daniel C. Butler



In interviews, Butler spoke about research priorities in geriatric dermatology, how the “4M” model of geriatrics should be applied within dermatology, how dermatologists can best work with older complex patients, and more. The conversation was edited for clarity and length.

 

What is geriatric dermatology? It is described by the AAD’s Geriatric Dermatology ERG as “an emerging subspecialty.” Yet it’s also viewed more broadly. Please speak about its various identities and meanings and its importance for dermatology.

I’d describe geriatric dermatology as a “supra-specialty” in theory because it encapsulates a part of many practices. If you’re a general dermatologist, about 50% of your patients are over the age of 65. If you’re a Mohs surgeon, you’re seeing a strong majority of over 65 patients. And in various specialty clinics, such as inflammatory skin disease, geriatric dermatology pertains to you. In many ways, it can be viewed as a mindset.

From a framework standpoint, and as a field, geriatric dermatology is a basic science initiative, a clinical initiative, an educational initiative, and an advocacy initiative. The goal is to be able to influence, grow, and learn in each of these categories for our older patients. This is happening: Research in this field has progressed, and education has progressed, which has driven some progress in clinical care.

 

How has research progressed in the basic science of aging skin? What are key questions for dermatology?

There has been a lot of basic science research on aging skin and on how an aging immune system, for instance, is reflected in conditions such as bullous pemphigoid, atopic dermatitis (AD), and chronic itch. But aging involves more than immunosenescence. I think of aging skin as a three-headed monster that involves changes in the skin barrier and the microbiome as well. But is there a primary piece of aging in the skin? What comes first or influences the other? More research on these questions can potentially influence our treatments.

With respect to the immune system, what we’re finding in the skin is that age-related change is not a decline in the immune system per se, but rather aberrance in response. Parts of the system tend to become overactive, with a skew toward overexpression of type 2 inflammation. This can be problematic, driving conditions such as chronic itch.

With respect to the skin barrier, we lose essential fatty acids, and we lose a lot of our recovery ability and our ability to respond quickly to environmental stressors. But are barrier changes triggering the immune system? Or is it the other way around?

The microbiome, which is a big focus of research, involves similar chicken-and-egg discussions. Is it the microbiome that changes and alters the barrier, which then entices the immune system? Which one happens first? We have a lot to learn, and there’s probably not one answer for every patient.

 

Please speak about research more broadly. What questions and issues need to be answered and addressed to improve the dermatologic care of older adults?

In general, research in dermatology is very disease-specific and not particularly conducive to looking at the larger demographic populations. We have a huge opportunity, therefore, to break the mold and grow geriatric dermatology as an area of population-based research — so that geriatric dermatology research encompasses not only the melanoma researcher who’s trying to understand how aging influences the melanocytes but also the epidemiologic researcher looking at how our diagnoses and coding and prescription practices are different in the 65-plus age group.

Clinically speaking, researchers want to better understand how aging influences the clinical presentations of our diseases. And there’s research to be done on best practices. For example, what are the best practices for treating basal cell carcinomas in patients with mild cognitive impairment? How should we consider the use of topicals in a patient who has severe arthritis or who lives alone? And then how should we teach practical approaches to help providers meet people where they are?

Looking at it from a healthcare system standpoint, there are many care delivery and access issues — practical pieces — to research, and we’re getting a lot better with this. We’re also advocating not only for more inclusion of older adults in clinical trials of treatments but also for the use of evaluations and outcomes that are relevant and important for older adults.

One piece of good news is that we’re seeing safer treatment options with tremendous efficacy that target known pathways for diseases like AD and chronic itch that affect older adults. Again, now we must find ways to improve access to these novel, safe options.

Our research program at the University of Arizona College of Medicine, which we’re just getting off the ground, aims to be dual-sided, looking both at the basic science of aging skin and at access and care delivery issues, such as how to ensure that patients on Medicare have access to medications that are at least on par with others with private insurance.

 

What are the most common dermatologic problems experienced by older adults?

Based on my experience and on research that we expect to be published soon, it’s absolutely nonmelanoma skin cancers, precancers like actinic keratoses — and on the inflammatory disease side, itch, AD, and psoriasis. Of course, also common are the age-related changes to the skin that we put in the benign category, such as solar lentigines.

How does age influence dermatologic diseases from a pathophysiological and clinical standpoint?

Diseases overall are very similar and respond to the same treatments, but age in and of itself does influence little pieces. For example, there is more crossover in the presentation of psoriasis and AD in older adults, leading to delays in the diagnosis of psoriasis.

With AD, we’ve found that itch is the predominant symptom for older adults rather than the red rash. We see higher or more severe itch scores in older adults with AD with less visual changes on the skin than in younger cohorts. And rash occurs in different locations than in young patients. Older adults typically present with it on their chest, back, and across the trunk, rather than in folded areas. They’re also more likely to get it on their legs in a nummular pattern as opposed to the more traditional flexural area presentation.

 

What unique considerations need to be made in treating older adults? How should the 4M model of geriatrics be applied to dermatologic care?

Our care model pushes us to be very algorithmic, but at the end of the day, what’s really important are the 4Ms: Mobility, medication, mentation, and “what matters most.” As you’re having your shared decision-making conversations with your patients and their families, these should be your priorities.

A patient with physical limitations, for instance, may not be able to apply a topical cream twice a day all over the body. They may have comorbidities and treatments for these comorbidities that may conflict with medications you’re considering.

And then mentation is so important. For a long time, we used antihistamines for older adults, but this has been proven to be bad for their mentation and risky in other ways. We need to be sure we’re prioritizing their ability to be clear mentally when we’re prescribing medications and even when we’re considering surgical approaches. Do they show capacity for that procedure or treatment, and how will they respond to that treatment later on?

Using the 4M model to drive conversations is a way to get all of us to connect to the patient and learn about what’s most important for them. In many ways, geriatrics is about taking a step back from your specialist skills and thinking about how you would want a family member treated.

We want to avoid treating just the lesion or the pathologic diagnosis. We want to avoid the “conveyor belt” from a biopsy to Mohs. I have 95-year-olds who say, “Heck yeah, if Mohs is the best treatment, that’s what I want.” And I have 70-year-olds who say, “I think I’ll go with another option,” and that’s the right decision for them. It’s having the conversation that matters.

 

In practice, given time constraints and other confines, how can dermatologists best work with more complex older patients? What are your practical tips?

People talk about having 45-minute “golden year” conversations with their older patients, but it doesn’t have to be this way. In pursuing geriatric dermatology, I decided early on that I wanted to make sure it was practical, so I’ve focused on maximizing shorter visits and on embracing the concept that relationships can be developed over time. Each time we meet with someone, we’re building equity to have bigger conversations later on.

I can have a 15-minute conversation about whether my patient may want to have Mohs surgery, for instance, or escalate treatment to a systemic agent for their chronic inflammatory disease. If that time isn’t enough, I can encourage further thought about treatment options, acknowledge that decisions aren’t necessarily easy, and schedule a follow-up or offer to call the patient after clinic to continue the conversation.

Sometimes, when I’m at an impasse and my patient is unsure how to proceed, I’ll use clear metrics relevant to older adults — sleep, activity level, and caregiver burden — to help my patient. If someone is not sleeping because of their lesion — if they’re so itchy or their inflammatory disease is uncontrolled, for instance — I’ll point out that the side effects of not sleeping are worse than the medications or surgery we’d pursue. If someone removes themselves from an activity due to their skin condition, that’s a red flag. And if the caregiver in the room is overwhelmed or frustrated by having to put cream on twice a day, I’ll use this to advance treatment.

 

What resources are available for dermatologists interested in improving their geriatric dermatology skills or advancing the area?

For those interested in investigating these issues or improving their practices, the AAD’s Geriatric Dermatology ERG is always welcoming of new members. The ERG will have an all-inclusive meeting at the 2025 annual AAD meeting in March.

The AAD also has educational modules on geriatric dermatology that were recently published as an initiative of our ERG. More information is available on the website. Also valuable is the ElderDerm conference hosted by the George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC; the second such conference takes place in May 2025.

Butler reported that he had no relevant financial disclosures.

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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Daniel C. Butler, MD, is associate professor of dermatology and director of the new Inflammatory and Aging Skin Research Program in the Division of Dermatology at the University of Arizona College of Medicine, Tucson, Arizona. Before returning to Arizona, where he had attended medical school, Butler practiced and was a researcher at the University of California, San Francisco, and its geriatric dermatology clinic. He is a co-founder and continues to co-lead the American Academy of Dermatology (AAD) Geriatric Dermatology Expert Resource Group (ERG).

Butler’s interest in geriatric dermatology is rooted in his experience growing up with four grandparents and witnessing their wisdom, relationships, moments with loved ones, and other unique and desirable parts of growing old. “When I looked later at how aging was perceived in dermatology, I found it was a lot about ‘antiaging,’” he told this news organization. “I thought there was a needed voice in dermatology for healthy aging, for all the desirable things that only growing old can provide, along with all the incredible ‘antiaging’ things we can do.”

Dr. Daniel C. Butler



In interviews, Butler spoke about research priorities in geriatric dermatology, how the “4M” model of geriatrics should be applied within dermatology, how dermatologists can best work with older complex patients, and more. The conversation was edited for clarity and length.

 

What is geriatric dermatology? It is described by the AAD’s Geriatric Dermatology ERG as “an emerging subspecialty.” Yet it’s also viewed more broadly. Please speak about its various identities and meanings and its importance for dermatology.

I’d describe geriatric dermatology as a “supra-specialty” in theory because it encapsulates a part of many practices. If you’re a general dermatologist, about 50% of your patients are over the age of 65. If you’re a Mohs surgeon, you’re seeing a strong majority of over 65 patients. And in various specialty clinics, such as inflammatory skin disease, geriatric dermatology pertains to you. In many ways, it can be viewed as a mindset.

From a framework standpoint, and as a field, geriatric dermatology is a basic science initiative, a clinical initiative, an educational initiative, and an advocacy initiative. The goal is to be able to influence, grow, and learn in each of these categories for our older patients. This is happening: Research in this field has progressed, and education has progressed, which has driven some progress in clinical care.

 

How has research progressed in the basic science of aging skin? What are key questions for dermatology?

There has been a lot of basic science research on aging skin and on how an aging immune system, for instance, is reflected in conditions such as bullous pemphigoid, atopic dermatitis (AD), and chronic itch. But aging involves more than immunosenescence. I think of aging skin as a three-headed monster that involves changes in the skin barrier and the microbiome as well. But is there a primary piece of aging in the skin? What comes first or influences the other? More research on these questions can potentially influence our treatments.

With respect to the immune system, what we’re finding in the skin is that age-related change is not a decline in the immune system per se, but rather aberrance in response. Parts of the system tend to become overactive, with a skew toward overexpression of type 2 inflammation. This can be problematic, driving conditions such as chronic itch.

With respect to the skin barrier, we lose essential fatty acids, and we lose a lot of our recovery ability and our ability to respond quickly to environmental stressors. But are barrier changes triggering the immune system? Or is it the other way around?

The microbiome, which is a big focus of research, involves similar chicken-and-egg discussions. Is it the microbiome that changes and alters the barrier, which then entices the immune system? Which one happens first? We have a lot to learn, and there’s probably not one answer for every patient.

 

Please speak about research more broadly. What questions and issues need to be answered and addressed to improve the dermatologic care of older adults?

In general, research in dermatology is very disease-specific and not particularly conducive to looking at the larger demographic populations. We have a huge opportunity, therefore, to break the mold and grow geriatric dermatology as an area of population-based research — so that geriatric dermatology research encompasses not only the melanoma researcher who’s trying to understand how aging influences the melanocytes but also the epidemiologic researcher looking at how our diagnoses and coding and prescription practices are different in the 65-plus age group.

Clinically speaking, researchers want to better understand how aging influences the clinical presentations of our diseases. And there’s research to be done on best practices. For example, what are the best practices for treating basal cell carcinomas in patients with mild cognitive impairment? How should we consider the use of topicals in a patient who has severe arthritis or who lives alone? And then how should we teach practical approaches to help providers meet people where they are?

Looking at it from a healthcare system standpoint, there are many care delivery and access issues — practical pieces — to research, and we’re getting a lot better with this. We’re also advocating not only for more inclusion of older adults in clinical trials of treatments but also for the use of evaluations and outcomes that are relevant and important for older adults.

One piece of good news is that we’re seeing safer treatment options with tremendous efficacy that target known pathways for diseases like AD and chronic itch that affect older adults. Again, now we must find ways to improve access to these novel, safe options.

Our research program at the University of Arizona College of Medicine, which we’re just getting off the ground, aims to be dual-sided, looking both at the basic science of aging skin and at access and care delivery issues, such as how to ensure that patients on Medicare have access to medications that are at least on par with others with private insurance.

 

What are the most common dermatologic problems experienced by older adults?

Based on my experience and on research that we expect to be published soon, it’s absolutely nonmelanoma skin cancers, precancers like actinic keratoses — and on the inflammatory disease side, itch, AD, and psoriasis. Of course, also common are the age-related changes to the skin that we put in the benign category, such as solar lentigines.

How does age influence dermatologic diseases from a pathophysiological and clinical standpoint?

Diseases overall are very similar and respond to the same treatments, but age in and of itself does influence little pieces. For example, there is more crossover in the presentation of psoriasis and AD in older adults, leading to delays in the diagnosis of psoriasis.

With AD, we’ve found that itch is the predominant symptom for older adults rather than the red rash. We see higher or more severe itch scores in older adults with AD with less visual changes on the skin than in younger cohorts. And rash occurs in different locations than in young patients. Older adults typically present with it on their chest, back, and across the trunk, rather than in folded areas. They’re also more likely to get it on their legs in a nummular pattern as opposed to the more traditional flexural area presentation.

 

What unique considerations need to be made in treating older adults? How should the 4M model of geriatrics be applied to dermatologic care?

Our care model pushes us to be very algorithmic, but at the end of the day, what’s really important are the 4Ms: Mobility, medication, mentation, and “what matters most.” As you’re having your shared decision-making conversations with your patients and their families, these should be your priorities.

A patient with physical limitations, for instance, may not be able to apply a topical cream twice a day all over the body. They may have comorbidities and treatments for these comorbidities that may conflict with medications you’re considering.

And then mentation is so important. For a long time, we used antihistamines for older adults, but this has been proven to be bad for their mentation and risky in other ways. We need to be sure we’re prioritizing their ability to be clear mentally when we’re prescribing medications and even when we’re considering surgical approaches. Do they show capacity for that procedure or treatment, and how will they respond to that treatment later on?

Using the 4M model to drive conversations is a way to get all of us to connect to the patient and learn about what’s most important for them. In many ways, geriatrics is about taking a step back from your specialist skills and thinking about how you would want a family member treated.

We want to avoid treating just the lesion or the pathologic diagnosis. We want to avoid the “conveyor belt” from a biopsy to Mohs. I have 95-year-olds who say, “Heck yeah, if Mohs is the best treatment, that’s what I want.” And I have 70-year-olds who say, “I think I’ll go with another option,” and that’s the right decision for them. It’s having the conversation that matters.

 

In practice, given time constraints and other confines, how can dermatologists best work with more complex older patients? What are your practical tips?

People talk about having 45-minute “golden year” conversations with their older patients, but it doesn’t have to be this way. In pursuing geriatric dermatology, I decided early on that I wanted to make sure it was practical, so I’ve focused on maximizing shorter visits and on embracing the concept that relationships can be developed over time. Each time we meet with someone, we’re building equity to have bigger conversations later on.

I can have a 15-minute conversation about whether my patient may want to have Mohs surgery, for instance, or escalate treatment to a systemic agent for their chronic inflammatory disease. If that time isn’t enough, I can encourage further thought about treatment options, acknowledge that decisions aren’t necessarily easy, and schedule a follow-up or offer to call the patient after clinic to continue the conversation.

Sometimes, when I’m at an impasse and my patient is unsure how to proceed, I’ll use clear metrics relevant to older adults — sleep, activity level, and caregiver burden — to help my patient. If someone is not sleeping because of their lesion — if they’re so itchy or their inflammatory disease is uncontrolled, for instance — I’ll point out that the side effects of not sleeping are worse than the medications or surgery we’d pursue. If someone removes themselves from an activity due to their skin condition, that’s a red flag. And if the caregiver in the room is overwhelmed or frustrated by having to put cream on twice a day, I’ll use this to advance treatment.

 

What resources are available for dermatologists interested in improving their geriatric dermatology skills or advancing the area?

For those interested in investigating these issues or improving their practices, the AAD’s Geriatric Dermatology ERG is always welcoming of new members. The ERG will have an all-inclusive meeting at the 2025 annual AAD meeting in March.

The AAD also has educational modules on geriatric dermatology that were recently published as an initiative of our ERG. More information is available on the website. Also valuable is the ElderDerm conference hosted by the George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC; the second such conference takes place in May 2025.

Butler reported that he had no relevant financial disclosures.

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

Daniel C. Butler, MD, is associate professor of dermatology and director of the new Inflammatory and Aging Skin Research Program in the Division of Dermatology at the University of Arizona College of Medicine, Tucson, Arizona. Before returning to Arizona, where he had attended medical school, Butler practiced and was a researcher at the University of California, San Francisco, and its geriatric dermatology clinic. He is a co-founder and continues to co-lead the American Academy of Dermatology (AAD) Geriatric Dermatology Expert Resource Group (ERG).

Butler’s interest in geriatric dermatology is rooted in his experience growing up with four grandparents and witnessing their wisdom, relationships, moments with loved ones, and other unique and desirable parts of growing old. “When I looked later at how aging was perceived in dermatology, I found it was a lot about ‘antiaging,’” he told this news organization. “I thought there was a needed voice in dermatology for healthy aging, for all the desirable things that only growing old can provide, along with all the incredible ‘antiaging’ things we can do.”

Dr. Daniel C. Butler



In interviews, Butler spoke about research priorities in geriatric dermatology, how the “4M” model of geriatrics should be applied within dermatology, how dermatologists can best work with older complex patients, and more. The conversation was edited for clarity and length.

 

What is geriatric dermatology? It is described by the AAD’s Geriatric Dermatology ERG as “an emerging subspecialty.” Yet it’s also viewed more broadly. Please speak about its various identities and meanings and its importance for dermatology.

I’d describe geriatric dermatology as a “supra-specialty” in theory because it encapsulates a part of many practices. If you’re a general dermatologist, about 50% of your patients are over the age of 65. If you’re a Mohs surgeon, you’re seeing a strong majority of over 65 patients. And in various specialty clinics, such as inflammatory skin disease, geriatric dermatology pertains to you. In many ways, it can be viewed as a mindset.

From a framework standpoint, and as a field, geriatric dermatology is a basic science initiative, a clinical initiative, an educational initiative, and an advocacy initiative. The goal is to be able to influence, grow, and learn in each of these categories for our older patients. This is happening: Research in this field has progressed, and education has progressed, which has driven some progress in clinical care.

 

How has research progressed in the basic science of aging skin? What are key questions for dermatology?

There has been a lot of basic science research on aging skin and on how an aging immune system, for instance, is reflected in conditions such as bullous pemphigoid, atopic dermatitis (AD), and chronic itch. But aging involves more than immunosenescence. I think of aging skin as a three-headed monster that involves changes in the skin barrier and the microbiome as well. But is there a primary piece of aging in the skin? What comes first or influences the other? More research on these questions can potentially influence our treatments.

With respect to the immune system, what we’re finding in the skin is that age-related change is not a decline in the immune system per se, but rather aberrance in response. Parts of the system tend to become overactive, with a skew toward overexpression of type 2 inflammation. This can be problematic, driving conditions such as chronic itch.

With respect to the skin barrier, we lose essential fatty acids, and we lose a lot of our recovery ability and our ability to respond quickly to environmental stressors. But are barrier changes triggering the immune system? Or is it the other way around?

The microbiome, which is a big focus of research, involves similar chicken-and-egg discussions. Is it the microbiome that changes and alters the barrier, which then entices the immune system? Which one happens first? We have a lot to learn, and there’s probably not one answer for every patient.

 

Please speak about research more broadly. What questions and issues need to be answered and addressed to improve the dermatologic care of older adults?

In general, research in dermatology is very disease-specific and not particularly conducive to looking at the larger demographic populations. We have a huge opportunity, therefore, to break the mold and grow geriatric dermatology as an area of population-based research — so that geriatric dermatology research encompasses not only the melanoma researcher who’s trying to understand how aging influences the melanocytes but also the epidemiologic researcher looking at how our diagnoses and coding and prescription practices are different in the 65-plus age group.

Clinically speaking, researchers want to better understand how aging influences the clinical presentations of our diseases. And there’s research to be done on best practices. For example, what are the best practices for treating basal cell carcinomas in patients with mild cognitive impairment? How should we consider the use of topicals in a patient who has severe arthritis or who lives alone? And then how should we teach practical approaches to help providers meet people where they are?

Looking at it from a healthcare system standpoint, there are many care delivery and access issues — practical pieces — to research, and we’re getting a lot better with this. We’re also advocating not only for more inclusion of older adults in clinical trials of treatments but also for the use of evaluations and outcomes that are relevant and important for older adults.

One piece of good news is that we’re seeing safer treatment options with tremendous efficacy that target known pathways for diseases like AD and chronic itch that affect older adults. Again, now we must find ways to improve access to these novel, safe options.

Our research program at the University of Arizona College of Medicine, which we’re just getting off the ground, aims to be dual-sided, looking both at the basic science of aging skin and at access and care delivery issues, such as how to ensure that patients on Medicare have access to medications that are at least on par with others with private insurance.

 

What are the most common dermatologic problems experienced by older adults?

Based on my experience and on research that we expect to be published soon, it’s absolutely nonmelanoma skin cancers, precancers like actinic keratoses — and on the inflammatory disease side, itch, AD, and psoriasis. Of course, also common are the age-related changes to the skin that we put in the benign category, such as solar lentigines.

How does age influence dermatologic diseases from a pathophysiological and clinical standpoint?

Diseases overall are very similar and respond to the same treatments, but age in and of itself does influence little pieces. For example, there is more crossover in the presentation of psoriasis and AD in older adults, leading to delays in the diagnosis of psoriasis.

With AD, we’ve found that itch is the predominant symptom for older adults rather than the red rash. We see higher or more severe itch scores in older adults with AD with less visual changes on the skin than in younger cohorts. And rash occurs in different locations than in young patients. Older adults typically present with it on their chest, back, and across the trunk, rather than in folded areas. They’re also more likely to get it on their legs in a nummular pattern as opposed to the more traditional flexural area presentation.

 

What unique considerations need to be made in treating older adults? How should the 4M model of geriatrics be applied to dermatologic care?

Our care model pushes us to be very algorithmic, but at the end of the day, what’s really important are the 4Ms: Mobility, medication, mentation, and “what matters most.” As you’re having your shared decision-making conversations with your patients and their families, these should be your priorities.

A patient with physical limitations, for instance, may not be able to apply a topical cream twice a day all over the body. They may have comorbidities and treatments for these comorbidities that may conflict with medications you’re considering.

And then mentation is so important. For a long time, we used antihistamines for older adults, but this has been proven to be bad for their mentation and risky in other ways. We need to be sure we’re prioritizing their ability to be clear mentally when we’re prescribing medications and even when we’re considering surgical approaches. Do they show capacity for that procedure or treatment, and how will they respond to that treatment later on?

Using the 4M model to drive conversations is a way to get all of us to connect to the patient and learn about what’s most important for them. In many ways, geriatrics is about taking a step back from your specialist skills and thinking about how you would want a family member treated.

We want to avoid treating just the lesion or the pathologic diagnosis. We want to avoid the “conveyor belt” from a biopsy to Mohs. I have 95-year-olds who say, “Heck yeah, if Mohs is the best treatment, that’s what I want.” And I have 70-year-olds who say, “I think I’ll go with another option,” and that’s the right decision for them. It’s having the conversation that matters.

 

In practice, given time constraints and other confines, how can dermatologists best work with more complex older patients? What are your practical tips?

People talk about having 45-minute “golden year” conversations with their older patients, but it doesn’t have to be this way. In pursuing geriatric dermatology, I decided early on that I wanted to make sure it was practical, so I’ve focused on maximizing shorter visits and on embracing the concept that relationships can be developed over time. Each time we meet with someone, we’re building equity to have bigger conversations later on.

I can have a 15-minute conversation about whether my patient may want to have Mohs surgery, for instance, or escalate treatment to a systemic agent for their chronic inflammatory disease. If that time isn’t enough, I can encourage further thought about treatment options, acknowledge that decisions aren’t necessarily easy, and schedule a follow-up or offer to call the patient after clinic to continue the conversation.

Sometimes, when I’m at an impasse and my patient is unsure how to proceed, I’ll use clear metrics relevant to older adults — sleep, activity level, and caregiver burden — to help my patient. If someone is not sleeping because of their lesion — if they’re so itchy or their inflammatory disease is uncontrolled, for instance — I’ll point out that the side effects of not sleeping are worse than the medications or surgery we’d pursue. If someone removes themselves from an activity due to their skin condition, that’s a red flag. And if the caregiver in the room is overwhelmed or frustrated by having to put cream on twice a day, I’ll use this to advance treatment.

 

What resources are available for dermatologists interested in improving their geriatric dermatology skills or advancing the area?

For those interested in investigating these issues or improving their practices, the AAD’s Geriatric Dermatology ERG is always welcoming of new members. The ERG will have an all-inclusive meeting at the 2025 annual AAD meeting in March.

The AAD also has educational modules on geriatric dermatology that were recently published as an initiative of our ERG. More information is available on the website. Also valuable is the ElderDerm conference hosted by the George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC; the second such conference takes place in May 2025.

Butler reported that he had no relevant financial disclosures.

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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Why Do People Struggle to Prioritize Their Long-Term Health?

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Understanding how people make health-related decisions requires a deeper exploration of their motivations, beliefs, and circumstances, Christopher Dye, DPhil, professor of epidemiology at the University of Oxford in England, and former director of strategy at the World Health Organization, said in an interview. “In public health, we tend to prescribe solutions. But unless we understand how people really make choices about health and why they are less interested in prevention and happier to wait until they become ill, then we are not in the position to shift away from curative treatments to preventive treatments.”

Despite the well-documented benefits of preventive measures, many people fail to engage in proactive health behaviors. This can be attributed to psychological biases and socioeconomic factors that shape how people prioritize their health.

“The choices people make have some to do with facts, but they also have much to do with values and perception. We need to understand and take these perceptions and values seriously,” Dye said.

 

The Paradox of Prevention

People often recognize prevention as the right course of action but fail to act. “We know it’s the right thing to do, but we don’t do it,” Dye said.

He explained that, when considering potential future threats, we assess two key factors: The severity of the danger and the cost of addressing it. Action is more likely when the danger is significant and the cost of mitigation is low.

This dynamic can be broken down into three critical questions:

What is the nature of the hazard? Is the threat severe, like Ebola, which has a case fatality rate of around 50% in untreated cases, or relatively milder, like COVID-19, with a fatality rate of less than 1% but a much broader spread? The nastier the hazard, the more likely we are to take it seriously.

How likely is it to happen? Even a severe threat will not prompt much concern if its likelihood is perceived as low. Our willingness to act depends heavily on how probable people think the hazard is.

When is it likely to happen? A threat looming in the immediate future is more compelling than one projected weeks, months, or years away. This is because people tend to heavily discount the value of future risks.

When these factors — severity, likelihood, and immediacy — combine with low mitigation costs, the incentives for action align.

However, cost is not limited to financial expense. It encompasses effort, willpower, access to information, and personal inclination. Similarly, the perception of threat is shaped not just by hard data and epidemiology but also by subjective values and cultural interpretations.

“We place a high value on now rather than later,” Theresa Marteau, PhD, a psychologist and behavioral scientist and director of the Behaviour and Health Research Unit at the University of Cambridge in England, said in an interview. “Treatment is about fixing a problem that we have now, rather than trying to avoid a problem sometime in the future. We also place a high value on certainty: I’m ill today, and I want to avoid that, as opposed to putting resources on a possible disease that might or might not occur.”

 

Investing in the Future: A Privilege of Stability

People often undervalue future health risks because of temporal discounting, a cognitive bias where immediate rewards are prioritized over long-term benefits. This tendency makes it challenging to address health issues that may only manifest years later.

From a public health perspective, this creates challenges. Warning individuals that harmful behaviors, such as smoking, may lead to severe health problems in a decade often falls on deaf ears. People naturally focus on immediate concerns, particularly when grappling with present challenges. For those living in poverty or social instability, the urgency of daily survival frequently outweighs the perceived benefits of preventive health measures.

“A cigarette during the day is just one brief source of pleasure, a short-term escape from all the other stuff happening in their lives, and there’s more of that stuff happening to poorer people than there is to richer people,” Dye said.

He said that long-term thinking comes more naturally to those with stability and resources. People who are financially secure, have stable jobs, supportive families, and comfortable homes are better equipped to invest for the future and prioritize their health.

“People value their health regardless of their social and economic circumstances,” said Marteau. “But they might not have the resources to engage in behavior-changing activities.”

 

Bringing the Future to the Present

Effective interventions often involve a combination of “sticks” (deterrents) and “carrots” (rewards), Dye explained. Both approaches aim to bridge the gap between immediate actions and future benefits by making preventive behaviors more appealing in the short term. “We need to bring the future into the present,” he added.

Raising the cost of unhealthy behaviors has proven effective. For example, increasing the price of cigarettes leads to significant reductions in smoking rates. When smoking becomes less affordable, individuals are more likely to quit. Dye said that this approach works to a certain extent. At some point, the number of people quitting plateaus and those from low socioeconomic backgrounds are those more likely to continue to smoke.

Offering immediate rewards for preventive behaviors provides a powerful incentive. Things that give tangible benefits, like attending regular health checkups, receiving vaccinations, or joining fitness programs, can motivate individuals to engage in health-preserving activities. “The key is ensuring these benefits are timely and meaningful, as delayed rewards are less effective in overcoming the natural bias toward the present,” said Dye.

Healthcare providers are best placed to help people engage in preventive behavior by referring patients to the right services, such as programs to stop smoking, weight loss programs and medications, or mental health providers, Marteau said. “It’s not telling people to stop smoking or change their diet. It’s about signposting them to effective services that will help them change their behavior.”

Dye and Marteau reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Understanding how people make health-related decisions requires a deeper exploration of their motivations, beliefs, and circumstances, Christopher Dye, DPhil, professor of epidemiology at the University of Oxford in England, and former director of strategy at the World Health Organization, said in an interview. “In public health, we tend to prescribe solutions. But unless we understand how people really make choices about health and why they are less interested in prevention and happier to wait until they become ill, then we are not in the position to shift away from curative treatments to preventive treatments.”

Despite the well-documented benefits of preventive measures, many people fail to engage in proactive health behaviors. This can be attributed to psychological biases and socioeconomic factors that shape how people prioritize their health.

“The choices people make have some to do with facts, but they also have much to do with values and perception. We need to understand and take these perceptions and values seriously,” Dye said.

 

The Paradox of Prevention

People often recognize prevention as the right course of action but fail to act. “We know it’s the right thing to do, but we don’t do it,” Dye said.

He explained that, when considering potential future threats, we assess two key factors: The severity of the danger and the cost of addressing it. Action is more likely when the danger is significant and the cost of mitigation is low.

This dynamic can be broken down into three critical questions:

What is the nature of the hazard? Is the threat severe, like Ebola, which has a case fatality rate of around 50% in untreated cases, or relatively milder, like COVID-19, with a fatality rate of less than 1% but a much broader spread? The nastier the hazard, the more likely we are to take it seriously.

How likely is it to happen? Even a severe threat will not prompt much concern if its likelihood is perceived as low. Our willingness to act depends heavily on how probable people think the hazard is.

When is it likely to happen? A threat looming in the immediate future is more compelling than one projected weeks, months, or years away. This is because people tend to heavily discount the value of future risks.

When these factors — severity, likelihood, and immediacy — combine with low mitigation costs, the incentives for action align.

However, cost is not limited to financial expense. It encompasses effort, willpower, access to information, and personal inclination. Similarly, the perception of threat is shaped not just by hard data and epidemiology but also by subjective values and cultural interpretations.

“We place a high value on now rather than later,” Theresa Marteau, PhD, a psychologist and behavioral scientist and director of the Behaviour and Health Research Unit at the University of Cambridge in England, said in an interview. “Treatment is about fixing a problem that we have now, rather than trying to avoid a problem sometime in the future. We also place a high value on certainty: I’m ill today, and I want to avoid that, as opposed to putting resources on a possible disease that might or might not occur.”

 

Investing in the Future: A Privilege of Stability

People often undervalue future health risks because of temporal discounting, a cognitive bias where immediate rewards are prioritized over long-term benefits. This tendency makes it challenging to address health issues that may only manifest years later.

From a public health perspective, this creates challenges. Warning individuals that harmful behaviors, such as smoking, may lead to severe health problems in a decade often falls on deaf ears. People naturally focus on immediate concerns, particularly when grappling with present challenges. For those living in poverty or social instability, the urgency of daily survival frequently outweighs the perceived benefits of preventive health measures.

“A cigarette during the day is just one brief source of pleasure, a short-term escape from all the other stuff happening in their lives, and there’s more of that stuff happening to poorer people than there is to richer people,” Dye said.

He said that long-term thinking comes more naturally to those with stability and resources. People who are financially secure, have stable jobs, supportive families, and comfortable homes are better equipped to invest for the future and prioritize their health.

“People value their health regardless of their social and economic circumstances,” said Marteau. “But they might not have the resources to engage in behavior-changing activities.”

 

Bringing the Future to the Present

Effective interventions often involve a combination of “sticks” (deterrents) and “carrots” (rewards), Dye explained. Both approaches aim to bridge the gap between immediate actions and future benefits by making preventive behaviors more appealing in the short term. “We need to bring the future into the present,” he added.

Raising the cost of unhealthy behaviors has proven effective. For example, increasing the price of cigarettes leads to significant reductions in smoking rates. When smoking becomes less affordable, individuals are more likely to quit. Dye said that this approach works to a certain extent. At some point, the number of people quitting plateaus and those from low socioeconomic backgrounds are those more likely to continue to smoke.

Offering immediate rewards for preventive behaviors provides a powerful incentive. Things that give tangible benefits, like attending regular health checkups, receiving vaccinations, or joining fitness programs, can motivate individuals to engage in health-preserving activities. “The key is ensuring these benefits are timely and meaningful, as delayed rewards are less effective in overcoming the natural bias toward the present,” said Dye.

Healthcare providers are best placed to help people engage in preventive behavior by referring patients to the right services, such as programs to stop smoking, weight loss programs and medications, or mental health providers, Marteau said. “It’s not telling people to stop smoking or change their diet. It’s about signposting them to effective services that will help them change their behavior.”

Dye and Marteau reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Understanding how people make health-related decisions requires a deeper exploration of their motivations, beliefs, and circumstances, Christopher Dye, DPhil, professor of epidemiology at the University of Oxford in England, and former director of strategy at the World Health Organization, said in an interview. “In public health, we tend to prescribe solutions. But unless we understand how people really make choices about health and why they are less interested in prevention and happier to wait until they become ill, then we are not in the position to shift away from curative treatments to preventive treatments.”

Despite the well-documented benefits of preventive measures, many people fail to engage in proactive health behaviors. This can be attributed to psychological biases and socioeconomic factors that shape how people prioritize their health.

“The choices people make have some to do with facts, but they also have much to do with values and perception. We need to understand and take these perceptions and values seriously,” Dye said.

 

The Paradox of Prevention

People often recognize prevention as the right course of action but fail to act. “We know it’s the right thing to do, but we don’t do it,” Dye said.

He explained that, when considering potential future threats, we assess two key factors: The severity of the danger and the cost of addressing it. Action is more likely when the danger is significant and the cost of mitigation is low.

This dynamic can be broken down into three critical questions:

What is the nature of the hazard? Is the threat severe, like Ebola, which has a case fatality rate of around 50% in untreated cases, or relatively milder, like COVID-19, with a fatality rate of less than 1% but a much broader spread? The nastier the hazard, the more likely we are to take it seriously.

How likely is it to happen? Even a severe threat will not prompt much concern if its likelihood is perceived as low. Our willingness to act depends heavily on how probable people think the hazard is.

When is it likely to happen? A threat looming in the immediate future is more compelling than one projected weeks, months, or years away. This is because people tend to heavily discount the value of future risks.

When these factors — severity, likelihood, and immediacy — combine with low mitigation costs, the incentives for action align.

However, cost is not limited to financial expense. It encompasses effort, willpower, access to information, and personal inclination. Similarly, the perception of threat is shaped not just by hard data and epidemiology but also by subjective values and cultural interpretations.

“We place a high value on now rather than later,” Theresa Marteau, PhD, a psychologist and behavioral scientist and director of the Behaviour and Health Research Unit at the University of Cambridge in England, said in an interview. “Treatment is about fixing a problem that we have now, rather than trying to avoid a problem sometime in the future. We also place a high value on certainty: I’m ill today, and I want to avoid that, as opposed to putting resources on a possible disease that might or might not occur.”

 

Investing in the Future: A Privilege of Stability

People often undervalue future health risks because of temporal discounting, a cognitive bias where immediate rewards are prioritized over long-term benefits. This tendency makes it challenging to address health issues that may only manifest years later.

From a public health perspective, this creates challenges. Warning individuals that harmful behaviors, such as smoking, may lead to severe health problems in a decade often falls on deaf ears. People naturally focus on immediate concerns, particularly when grappling with present challenges. For those living in poverty or social instability, the urgency of daily survival frequently outweighs the perceived benefits of preventive health measures.

“A cigarette during the day is just one brief source of pleasure, a short-term escape from all the other stuff happening in their lives, and there’s more of that stuff happening to poorer people than there is to richer people,” Dye said.

He said that long-term thinking comes more naturally to those with stability and resources. People who are financially secure, have stable jobs, supportive families, and comfortable homes are better equipped to invest for the future and prioritize their health.

“People value their health regardless of their social and economic circumstances,” said Marteau. “But they might not have the resources to engage in behavior-changing activities.”

 

Bringing the Future to the Present

Effective interventions often involve a combination of “sticks” (deterrents) and “carrots” (rewards), Dye explained. Both approaches aim to bridge the gap between immediate actions and future benefits by making preventive behaviors more appealing in the short term. “We need to bring the future into the present,” he added.

Raising the cost of unhealthy behaviors has proven effective. For example, increasing the price of cigarettes leads to significant reductions in smoking rates. When smoking becomes less affordable, individuals are more likely to quit. Dye said that this approach works to a certain extent. At some point, the number of people quitting plateaus and those from low socioeconomic backgrounds are those more likely to continue to smoke.

Offering immediate rewards for preventive behaviors provides a powerful incentive. Things that give tangible benefits, like attending regular health checkups, receiving vaccinations, or joining fitness programs, can motivate individuals to engage in health-preserving activities. “The key is ensuring these benefits are timely and meaningful, as delayed rewards are less effective in overcoming the natural bias toward the present,” said Dye.

Healthcare providers are best placed to help people engage in preventive behavior by referring patients to the right services, such as programs to stop smoking, weight loss programs and medications, or mental health providers, Marteau said. “It’s not telling people to stop smoking or change their diet. It’s about signposting them to effective services that will help them change their behavior.”

Dye and Marteau reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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